Earnings Season Highlights

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A collection of noteworthy post-earnings reactions
Published on Jun 26, 2025 at 12:27 PM
  • Quantitative Analysis

Auto stock General Motors Co (NYSE:GM) was last seen up 1.4% at $48.40. It's seen some choppy price action lately, but the 50-day moving average has moved in as close support. Furthermore, a pullback to this trendline has preceded gains in the past. 

Per Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, the stock is within 0.75 of the 50-day moving average's 20-day average true range (ATR) after spending at least 80% of the last 10 days and 80% of the last two months above it. Within these parameters, 12 other signals occurred in the past three years. GM was higher one month later 67% of the time after those instances, averaging a 5% gain. A move of similar magnitude would have the shares at $50.82 -- above recent pressure at the $50 mark. 

GM June26

 

An unwinding of pessimism amongst options traders could provide tailwinds as well. Both GM's 10-day put/call volume ratio of 3.56 and 50-day put/call volume ratio of 1.15 at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) rank higher than all other readings from the past year, indicating a very strong penchant for bearish bets. 

Published on Jun 26, 2025 at 11:55 AM
  • Midday Market Check

Published on Jun 26, 2025 at 11:00 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

Shares of Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc (NASDAQ:KTOS) are down 2.6% at $41.25 at last glance, after the company announced the sale of $500 million in stock. It is unclear which projects will be funded through the capital raise, but Stifel reiterated its "buy" rating and said that Kratos "enjoys a rich opportunity set to make incremental investments behind growth."

Today's dip has KTOS falling further from its recent June 23, 19-year high of $46.52. The stock's February and April pullbacks were both captured by the 200-day moving average, which now resides at $30. Year to date, the equity is up 49.5%. 

Kratos stock's options pits aren't exactly bustling with activity most of the time, but today they are seeing more options volume than usual. So far, 4,893 calls and 1,839 puts have been exchanged, which is triple the intraday average amount. The July 42.50 call is the most popular, followed by the July 40 put, with new positions opening at both. 

Meanwhile, despite the stock's recent climb, short interest represents 6.4% of its available float. It would take shorts more than three days to cover their bets, at KTOS' average pace of trading. 

Published on Jun 26, 2025 at 11:00 AM
  • The Week Ahead
 
Published on Jun 26, 2025 at 10:37 AM
  • Analyst Update

Shares of casino name PENN Entertainment Inc (NASDAQ:PENN) are enjoying a 9% pop this morning, trading at $19.20, the stock's highest level since early March. Driving today's price action is an upgrade by Citizens JMP from "market perform" to "outperform," with a price target of $24. The firm cited a potential turning point in the equity.

Today's bull note marks its second of the week, after the stock received a boost on Monday from JPMorgan Securities. Longer term, PENN has been recovering from its early-April bottom of $13.25 and is now facing off with its year-over-year breakeven level. 

Heading into today, analysts are evenly split, with 50% of the 18 in coverage sporting a "hold" or worse rating. Should this week mark the start of a larger round of bull notes, it could push the shares even higher.

It's worth noting short interest rose 5.6% over the past two reporting periods and now accounts for 13.4% of the stock's total available float. At PENN's average pace of trading it would take shorts five days to buy back their bearish bets.

Lastly, options are looking affordable. This is per PENN Entertainment stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 44%, which ranks in the 3rd percentile of its annual range, meaning options traders are pricing in low volatility expectations.

Published on Jun 26, 2025 at 9:17 AM
  • Opening View
 
Published on Jun 25, 2025 at 4:28 PM
Updated on Jun 25, 2025 at 4:29 PM
  • Market Recap
   
Published on Jun 25, 2025 at 2:44 PM
  • Buzz Stocks

Next week brings the start of July, and with it another holiday. Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White looked into some of the best and worst performers during 4th of July week, historically, and below we'll drill down -- no pun intended -- on the three worst stocks to own -- all of which come oil & gas sector. Rounding out the first three spots, respectively, are Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Hess Corp (NYSE:HES), and EOG Resources Inc (NYSE:EOG).

The worst stock to own the week of July 4th is XOM, averaging a weekly loss of 1.2% over the past decade, and finishing the week lower 90% of the time. Sitting at its year-to-date breakeven level and the 20-day moving average, the equity last seen trading at $108.67 -- has been stuck in a descending trendline since November.

Over the past 10 years, Hess stock has finished 4th of July week lower 80% of the time, averaging a drop of 1.9%. Last seen trading at $138.36, HES is eyeing its third-straight drop and has shed more than 13% for the quarter. In 2025, HES has is clinging to a 4% gain, but could test this level in the next week. 

EOG Resources stock averages a 1.7% drop during 4th of July week, and was lower 80% of the time. EOG has already slipped below its 2025 breakeven level, today on track to log a third-straight drop. The equity is off 0.8% to trade at $119.76, at last check. From current levels, the shares are below a downtrend off Jan. 16 annual high of $138.18. 

Published on Jun 25, 2025 at 2:30 PM
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Investor Sentiment

Every week, Investors Intelligence (II) puts out a poll gauging the amount of newsletter optimism and pessimism surrounding the stock market. Here are the results for the week ending Friday, June 20, and some corresponding takeaways from Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White.

Sentiment June 25

Per the top table, there was a slight decrease in optimism this week. The bulls minus bears line is around 10%. We typically consider readings below 0% or above 40% to be extreme pessimism or optimism, respectively. The table below compares the current data to typical data since 2005. The bulls are below their long-term average and the bears are near their long-term average. The bulls minus bears line is below its long-term average.

Sentment June 25 1

Published on Jun 25, 2025 at 1:33 PM
  • Quantitative Analysis

The shares of language learning platform Duolingo Inc (NASDAQ:DUOL) are down 2.7% at $411.54 at last glance, looking to extend their recent slide. The stock hung around its May 14 record high of $544.93 for a few weeks before beginning a sharp descent lower, marking only three positive days since June 6.

On the side of the bulls, however, DUOL is still up 26.9% in 2025, and currently flashing a historically bullish signal. Per Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, the recent pullback has Duolingo stock within striking distance of its 80-day moving average.

More specifically, the stock is within 0.75 of the trendline's 20-day average true range (ATR) after spending at least 80% of the last 10 days and 80% of the last two months above it. Within these parameters, six other signals occurred in the past three years. DUOL was higher one month later 67% of the time after those instances, averaging a large 15.7% gain. A move of similar magnitude would have the shares back up above $476, recovering a good portion of its recent losses.    

DUOL June25

Also in the stock's favor, its 14-day relative strength index (RSI) of 13.2 sits firmly in "oversold" territory, pointing to a potential short-term bounce. An unwinding of pessimism amongst options traders could provide tailwinds as well, per DUOL's 50-day put/call volume ratio of 1.83 at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), which ranks higher than 98% of readings from the past year. 

Published on Jun 25, 2025 at 11:59 AM
  • Midday Market Check

Published on Jun 25, 2025 at 10:47 AM
  • Buzz Stocks
  • Intraday Option Activity
AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVAV)

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