Earnings Season Highlights

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A collection of noteworthy post-earnings reactions
Published on Jun 11, 2025 at 1:38 PM
Updated on Jun 11, 2025 at 1:39 PM
  • Buzz Stocks

Aerospace manufacturer Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:LMT) stock is gapping lower today, after a U.S. Defense Department procurement request sent to Congress asked for 24 of the company's F-35 jets for the U.S. Air Force, compared last year's forecast of 48. The halved order has traders eyeing defense sector peers Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:NOC) and RTX Corp (NYSE:RTX) as well. 

LMT was last down 5.4% to trade at $451.30, pacing for a third-straight daily drop as it dives below recent support from the 20-day moving average. A floor at the $440 level that contained bear gaps in April and May looks ready to cap today's losses, however. Year-to-date, the equity is down 6.5%.

NOC is down 1.2% to trade at $482.72 at last check, after yesterday failing to conquer a ceiling at $500 that also rejected a May rally. Shares are testing support at their own 20-day trendline, but sport a 12.3% lead for the last 12 months and remain on the positive side of their year-to-date breakeven point.

Unlike its peers, RTX was last seen up 1% to trade at $139.84, following a price-target hike at Jefferies to $155 from $130. The security is set to resume gains after yesterday snapping its eight-day win streak, though it still nabbed a record high of $141.12 last session before pivoting lower. RTX has added over 20% so far in 2025.

In the options pits, LMT is the only one seeing unusual activity. So far today, the stock has seen 13,000 calls and 6,763 puts cross the tape, which is already 2.5 times the overall options volume typically seen in an entire session. The most active contract by far is the July 520 call, followed by the January 2026 600-strike call.

Published on Jun 11, 2025 at 11:59 AM
  • Midday Market Check

Published on Jun 11, 2025 at 10:44 AM
  • Analyst Update

Solar stock Sunrun Inc (NASDAQ:RUN) was last seen down 4.2% at $8.49 after a downgrade from Jefferies to "underperform" from "hold." The firm also cut its price target to $5 from $6, and upgraded sector peer First Solar (FSLR) to "buy," seeing it as a better play amid import restrictions. Notably, Jefferies previously cut RUN's price target to $6 from $7 just two weeks ago. 

Of the 24 analysts in coverage, 11 carry a "buy" or "strong buy," while 11 sport a tepid "hold," and two a "sell" or worse. The stock has seen several bear notes over the last month, and a continued unwinding of optimism could provide further headwinds. 

Sunrun stock has been steadily climbing since its May 22 bear gap of 37.1%, which occurred after the U.S. House of Representatives passed President Trump's sweeping tax bill. The 20-day moving average has moved in as resistance, however. Year to date, the equity is down 7.9%. 

Though short interest has decreased slightly amid the stock's recent climb, it still represents 28.6% of the stock's available float. It would take shorts nearly four days to cover their bets, at RUN's average pace of trading. 

Published on Jun 11, 2025 at 10:42 AM
Updated on Jun 11, 2025 at 10:42 AM
  • Buzz Stocks
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Published on Jun 11, 2025 at 10:32 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

Pet e-tailer Chewy Inc (NYSE:CHWY) reported a first-quarter earnings miss before the open, overshadowing its revenue beat. The company issued a lackluster full-year outlook, too, despite recent customer growth. At last check, CHWY was down 11.3% to trade at $40.63. 

Shares are now on track for their third-straight loss, as well as their worst day since August 2023. The equity is pulling back from its June 6, two-year high of $48.62, but support from the 40-day moving average could contain today's losses. For 2025, the stock still sports a 21% lead.

Short sellers are in control, with short interest up 17.7% over the last two reporting periods. The 14.80 million shares sold short now make up 7.8% of CHWY's available float, or three days' worth of pent-up buying power.

Options traders were already leaning bearish. This is per the equity's 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.50 over at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), which ranks in the 98th percentile of annual readings.

Options volume is running at 7 times the intraday average amount today, with 13,000 calls and 19,000 puts traded so far. The weekly 6/13 40-strike put is the most popular contract, followed by the 47-strike put in that series, with new positions being opened at the latter.

Published on Jun 11, 2025 at 9:19 AM
  • Opening View
 
Published on Jun 10, 2025 at 4:22 PM
Updated on Jun 11, 2025 at 9:03 AM
  • Market Recap
   
Published on Jun 10, 2025 at 3:38 PM
  • Technical Analysis

Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) today revealed that it has finalized a $439 million deal with Comcast (CMCSA) to finalize its full acquisition of Hulu. The security also nabbed a price-target hike to $130 from $125 from Loop Capital.

DIS is 2.6% higher to trade at $118.75 at last glance, while pacing for its third-straight gain after earlier securing a fresh 52-week peak. The shares have added 34% over the last nine months, and look ready to extend their slim 6.5% year-to-date lead, thanks to a historically bullish signal now flashing.

Digging deeper, Wat Disney stock's recent peak comes amid low implied volatility (IV), pet its Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 18%, which stands in the 1st percentile of its annual range. This has occurred one other time over the last five years, after which the stock was higher one month later with a 10.4% gain. From its current perch, a similar move would place DIS above $131 for the first time since April 2022.

DIS Intraday

An unwinding of pessimism among short-term options traders could generate additional tailwinds for DIS. This is per the security's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR), which sits in the 84th percentile of annual readings, suggesting there's been an unusual appetite for bearish bets of late.

Now looks like a good time to weigh in on the shares' next moves with options, too. Walt Disney stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 94 out of 100 means it tended to exceeded options traders' volatility expectations over the past year. 

Published on Jun 9, 2025 at 4:33 PM
Updated on Jun 10, 2025 at 3:20 PM
  • Market Recap
   
Published on Jun 10, 2025 at 11:06 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

Food and beverage stock J.M. Smucker Company (NYSE:SJM) was last seen down 12.7% at $97.65, after the company posted a disappointing annual profit forecast. In addition, while fiscal fourth-quarter earnings beat estimates, revenue came in below expectations. 

On the charts, today's bear gap has SJM breaking past its February bottom to its lowest level since March 2020 -- the height of the Covid-19 crash. The equity is also now pacing for its worst day on record, and carries a 12.1% year-over-year deficit.

In the options pits, SJM has seen 6.298 calls and 5,517 puts traded so far today. which is 42 times the overall options volume typically seen at this point. The June 95 call is most popular, followed by the 100 call in that series, with new positions opening at both. 

Analysts lean bearish on the equity, with many reiterating neutral stances today after the peanut butter maker's guidance. Of the 16 firms in question, 11 carry a "hold" or worse rating.

Published on Jun 10, 2025 at 10:42 AM
  • Buzz Stocks
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Published on Jun 10, 2025 at 10:34 AM
  • Analyst Update

Redburn Atlantic earlier downgraded the shares of blue-chip fast food giant McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD) to "sell" form "buy," and cut its price target to $260 from $319. This is the third downgrade MCD has received in three days, with the analyst in coverage citing weight-loss drugs like Ozempic as a critical business threat.

MCD earlier slipped to its lowest level since April, as it continues to pull away from a late May attempt to conquer long-term resistance at the $320 region. Shares are today testing support from the 200-day moving average, which contained multiple pullbacks in the past year. For 2025, the stock sports a slim 3.9% lead.

Options volume is today running at double the intraday average amount, with 7,142 calls and 2,437 puts exchanged so far. The June 345 call is the most active contract, with new positions being sold to open there.

Options traders lean more pessimistic than usual. This is per MCD's 50-day put/call volume ratio of 1.13 over at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), which sits in the 90th percentile of annual readings.

 

 

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