Earnings Season Highlights

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A collection of noteworthy post-earnings reactions
Published on Jan 14, 2021 at 10:31 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

The shares of Nordstrom, Inc. (NYSE:JWN) are taking a tumble today, off 5.1% at last check, following the retailer's nine-week holiday period sales report. Nordstrom experienced a 22% net sales decline, which fell in line with expectations. Meanwhile, the company's digital sales grew 23% year-over-year, and made up 54% of total sales. 

Analysts are brushing off the drop with bull notes. In fact, no fewer than six members of the brokerage bunch lifted their price targets, the highest coming from Evercore ISI to $45. Sentiment surrounding the stock is still cautious, though. Just two covering JWN consider it a "strong buy," compared to 11 calling it a "hold" or worse. Meanwhile, the 12-month consensus price target of $25.83, coming into today, represents a 27.8% discount to last night's close. 

Today's correction may have already been in the cards for JWN, per the stock's 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 77, indicating that the stock is well into "overbought" territory. The equity certainly has been a hot commodity in recent weeks, and the seven-day win streak is nothing short of impressive. Nordstrom stock hit its highest level since early March during yesterday's trading, and still sports a nine-month lead of 109%. 

Meanwhile, bulls are running the show in the options pits. In the first hour of trading, 8,197 calls and 3,565 puts have exchanged hands. The weekly 2/5 36.50-strike call is the most popular, followed by the 30-strike put in the same series. 

Published on Jan 14, 2021 at 9:50 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

Checking in with Bandwidth Stock After a Big Year

by Schaeffer's Digital Content Team

Bandwidth Inc. (NASDAQ:BAND) is a software company focused that operates as a cloud-based communications platform service provider. Bandwidth provides software application programming interfaces (or APIs) for voice and messaging to companies like Alphabet (GOOGL), Microsoft (MSFT), Cisco Systems (CSCO), and Zoom Communications (ZM).

Bandwidth stock is a ways off its Oct. 13 record high of $198.60. However, the pullbacks BAND has encountered in November and currently this month have been contained by the shares' 160-day moving average. Year-over-year, the equity is up 123%. 

BAND Stock Chart

A short squeeze could help BAND return to those October highs. Short interest increased by almost 8% in the most recent reporting period and the 8.40 million shares sold short accounts for a healthy 26% of the stock's total available float. At BAND's average pace of trading, it would take more than eight days for shorts to buy back their bearish bets.

Despite its $3.9 billion market cap, Bandwidth is still in its early growing stages. Although the company is growing revenue consistently, the growth rate isn’t sufficient enough at the moment to warrant its current valuation. BAND generated revenue of about $250 million over the past 12 months, and has only grown its net profit by $95 million over the past four years. Nonetheless, Bandwidth stock is demonstrating an overall upward trajectory and positive figures, including a balance sheet with nearly twice their total debt amount in cash and cash equivalents.

Published on Jan 14, 2021 at 8:19 AM
  • Buzz Stocks
  • Earnings Preview

Consumer lending and bank stock Ally Financial Inc. (NYSE:ALLY) is fresh off a Jan. 13 record high of $41.99. This comes a day after Ally announced a common stock repurchase plan of up to $1.6 billion in 2021. In the company’s press release, Ally Financial stated that it would begin repurchasing shares during the first quarter of this year. ALLY won't fade from the spotlight, either, with the financial giant set to report earnings before the open on Friday, Jan. 22.

Ally Financial stock outperformed expectations on three of past four earnings reports. For the fourth quarter of 2019, ALLY beat expectations by a margin of $0.02 and reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.95. For the first quarter of 2020, ALLY significantly missed Wall Street's earnings expectations by a margin of $1.14. Ally Financial reported a major earnings comeback for the second quarter of 2020, reporting an EPS of $0.61 and beat expectations by a margin of $0.33. Finally, in the most recently reported quarter, Ally Financial reported earnings of $1.25 per share, beating analysts' expectation by a margin of $0.57. For its upcoming earnings report due out next week, ALLY is anticipated to report an EPS of $1.03.

ALLY declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.19 per share of the company's common stock, payable on Feb. 12, to stockholders of record on Feb. 1. Ally Financial also has a forward dividend of $0.76 and a forward dividend yield of 2.03%. The company has paid dividends to stockholders since 2016.

ALLY has almost quadrupled since its March 18 record bottom near $10. It's been quite the V-shaped rally for the stock since then, with the channel of higher highs guided higher by its ascending 40-day moving average. Year-over-year, the equity is up 30%. 

Even with earnings looming, it's a prime time to buy premium on the ALLY's near-term options. The security's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 42% ranks in the 13th annual percentile, meaning short-term options are relatively cheap, from a historical volatility perspective. What's more, Ally stock has been a strong performer for premium buyers over the past year, based on its Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 96 out of 100. In other words, ALLY has shown a tendency to make bigger-than-expected moves during the past 12 months, relative to what its options have priced in.

ALLY Stock Chart

Published on Jan 14, 2021 at 7:27 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

Today's Stock Market News & Events: 1/14/2021

by Schaeffer's Digital Content Team

Stocks were, for the most part, able to shake off Wednesday's flat trading day to finish the day with solid gains, as investors were digesting news of sliding interest rates against surging pandemic numbers, along with the pending turmoil in Washington.  Making headlines was yesterday's vote to impeach President Donald Trump, which was passed by the House after market hours. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI - 31,060.47) lost 8.2 points on Wednesday. The S&P 500 Index (SPX - 3,809.84) added 8.7 points and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC - 13,128.52) added 56.5 points. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX - 22.21) lost 4.8% during yesterday's trading session.

Today, investors can look forward to the release of initial and continuing jobless claims, while the import price index is on tap, too. Plus, there is a solid list of earnings reports being released, as earnings season is just heating up.

The following companies are slated to release quarterly earnings reports today, January 14:

Aphria, Inc. (NASDAQ:APHA -- $10.00) cultivates, processes, produces, markets, distributes, and sells medical cannabis. Aphria will report its second-quarter earnings before the bell today.

BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE:BLK -- $779.75) is a publicly owned investment manager. BlackRock will report its fourth-quarter earnings of 2020 before the bell today.

Delta Air Lines, Inc. (NYSE:DAL -- $40.45) provides scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo. Delta Air Lines will report its fourth-quarter earnings of 2020 before the bell today.

First Republic Bank, Inc. (NYSE:FRC -- $161.25) provides private banking, private business banking, real estate lending, and wealth management services. First Republic Bank will report its fourth-quarter earnings of 2020 before the bell today.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE:TSM -- $119.56) manufactures and sells integrated circuits and semiconductors. Taiwan Semi will report its fourth-quarter earnings of 2020 before the bell today.

Progress Software Corporation (NASDAQ:PRGS -- $47.47) develops business applications. Progress Software will report its fourth-quarter earnings of 2020 after the market closes today.

Here is a quick recap of how Wednesday's earnings reports played out:

IHS Markit, Ltd. (NYSE:INFO -- $86.78) provides critical information, analytics, and solutions for various industries and markets worldwide. Earnings per share rose 10.77% over the past year to $0.72, which beat the estimate of $0.67. Revenue of $1,107,000,000 decreased by 1.16% year over year, which missed the estimate of $1,110,000,000.

Shaw Communications, Inc. (NYSE:SJR -- $17.75) operates as a connectivity company in North America. Earnings per share were unchanged year over year to $0.24, which beat the estimate of $0.22. Revenue of $1,040,000,000 declined by 2.35% year over year, which beat the estimate of $1,010,000,000.

Closing out this week, tomorrow is completely jam packed. Retail sales, industrial production, and capacity utilization data is all due out. In addition, the Empire state and producer price indexes latest data are slated to be reported. Lastly, preliminary consumer sentiment index data and business inventories reports are set to be released.

Please note that the U.S. stock market will be operating on a shortened schedule next week. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange will both be closed on Monday, Jan. 18, in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day. A normal trading session will resume on Tuesday, Jan. 19, starting at 9:30 a.m. ET. 

All economic dates listed here are tentative and subject to change.

Published on Jan 13, 2021 at 3:35 PM
Updated on Jan 13, 2021 at 3:38 PM
  • Quantitative Analysis

 

 
Published on Jan 13, 2021 at 2:36 PM
Updated on Jan 13, 2021 at 3:27 PM
  • Buzz Stocks
  • Analyst Update
 
Published on Jan 13, 2021 at 10:24 AM
Updated on Jan 13, 2021 at 2:21 PM
  • Buzz Stocks
 
Published on Jan 13, 2021 at 10:31 AM
Updated on Jan 13, 2021 at 11:50 AM
  • Options Recommendations

Following an upbeat November earnings report and purchase of Precor, stay-at-home workout staple Peloton Interactive Inc (NASDAQ:PTON) broke out from a steep falling wedge, and nabbed support from its 20-day moving average. In addition, the shares gapped above the $145 level, which is five time the equity's initial public offering (IPO) price. With the gap filled and support at the +400% year-over-year level in place, alongside the 140-strike peak put level, now seems like a good time to bet on PTON's next move higher.

In the options pits, there's been an unusual penchant for puts. In fact, Peloton stock sports a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.17 at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX). This ratio ranks in the elevated 96th percentile of its annual range, indicating a much healthier-than-usual appetite for puts. Echoing this, the security's Schaeffer's put/call ratio (SOIR) of 1.35 also stands in the 96th percentile of the past 12 months, suggesting short-term options traders have rarely been more put-biased.

Meanwhile, short interest is building, rising 11.4% over the last two weeks. Currently, the 15.75 million shares sold short account for 6.4% of the stock's available float. A rally could force new shorts to cover.

Lastly, options are relatively cheap at the moment. This is per PTON's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 59%, which ranks in the lowest percentile of readings from the past year, indicating options players are pricing in low volatility expectations at the moment. Our recommended call has a leverage ratio of 4.4, and will double in value on a 24.6% rise in the underlying security.

Subscribers to Schaeffer's Weekend Trader options recommendation service received this PTON commentary on Sunday night, along with a detailed options trade recommendation -- including complete entry and exit parameters. Learn more about why Weekend Trader is one of our most popular options trading services.

Published on Jan 13, 2021 at 11:12 AM
  • Buzz Stocks
stock
Published on Jan 13, 2021 at 10:25 AM
  • Buzz Stocks
  • Analyst Update
 
Published on Jan 13, 2021 at 10:20 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

The shares of American Tower Corp (NYSE:AMT) are lower this morning, last seen down 0.2% to trade at $214.47, amid news that the real estate investment trust (REIT) agreed to buy Spanish telecom company Telefonica's (TEF) European and Latin American mobile phone masts for $9.4 billion. The U.S.-listed shares of TEF, meanwhile, are up 9.8% to trade at $4.88.

It's been a rocky road downward for AMT, which is now off over 21% from its July 29, all-time high of $272. While it looked like the $215 mark would come in as a floor for REIT's December pullback, the equity just breached that level during yesterday's session, and is now set for a second session just below it. 

Nonetheless, option traders haven't been more bullish than in the past year. This is per American Tower stock's 50-day call/put volume ratio of 3.75 at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), which stands higher than all other readings from the last 12 months. 

Analysts reflect this optimism, with 10 of the 14 in coverage calling the security a "buy" or better, while the remaining four say "hold." Plus, the 12-month consensus price target of $280.41 is a 30.6% premium to current levels. Should AMT keep sliding under the $215 level, it could spark a round of downgrades and/or price target cuts. 

Published on Jan 13, 2021 at 9:57 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

Lowe's Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW) is the second0largest home improvement retail company, only trailing Home Depot (HD). The company recently unveiled its new strategy to drive market share acceleration, a “Total Home” strategy that would focus heavily on customer engagement, expand the online business, modernize installation services, improve localization efforts, and elevate their product assortment.

In addition to these new plans, the company’s Board of Directors recently authorized a new $15 billion common stock repurchase program. This repurchase program has no expiration date and adds to the previous program's balance, which was $4.7 billion as of Dec. 8.

What has this done for Lowe's stock? Well, since a Oct. 16 record high of $180.67, LOW has consolidated below the $170 level. Nevertheless, there's chart support in place at its 160-day moving average, and the stock remains up 80% in the last nine months. 

LOW Stock Chart

The retailer beat expectations on three of its last four of its earnings reports released in 2020. However, this only resulted in marginal post-earnings moves at best, and an 8.2% drop after its November quarterly report. Overall, in the last eight reports, LOW has averaged a 5.2% post-earnings move, regardless of direction.

Lowe's stock also has a forward dividend of $2.40 and a forward dividend yield of 1.44%. LOW’s last dividend was for $0.60 per share that was paid out to investors. The company have paid a dividend since 1980.

Lowe’s saw its revenue growth slow down over this past year, but the company had grown its top line by about $7 billion between 2017 and 2020. On the other hand, though, Lowe’s has struggled a bit more with its bottom line, losing over $1.3 billion in net income these past 12 months, bringing their its net profits to $2.9 billion. In addition, Lowe’s saw a significant decline in net income for the fiscal year 2019.

Nonetheless, Lowe’s has a solid upward trajectory for its revenue and net income, looking fairly sound from a fundamental perspective. Lowe's stock also has a very appealing forward price-earnings ratio of 17.99. This figure is down significantly from LOW's current price-earnings ratio of 23.91.

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