Earnings Season Highlights

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A collection of noteworthy post-earnings reactions
Published on May 13, 2021 at 10:00 AM
  • Buzz Stocks
 
Published on May 13, 2021 at 9:18 AM
Updated on May 13, 2021 at 9:28 AM
  • Analyst Update
  • Buzz Stocks

Lowe's Companies Inc (NYSE:LOW) has been the recipient of plenty of bullish analyst attention this week, with a little under a week until the company reports its first-quarter earnings before the open on Wednesday, May 19. The stock has received price-target hikes from no less than four brokerage firms throughout the week, and Oppenheimer has jumped on the bandwagon today, upgrading the equity to an "outperform" rating from "perform." The analyst cited the stock's favorable valuation, especially compared to that of direct rival Home Depot (HD). 

Lowe's stock is up 1.3% to trade at $198.12, recuperating some of this week's selloff, though the formerly supportive 30-day moving average still looms just above. The stock saw a sharp pullback from its Monday record peak at $215.22, though it does look like the 40-day moving average could contain most of this drop. For the year, LOW is up 21.8%. 

Circling back to analyst sentiment, it looks as if the brokerage bunch has been mostly optimistic. Coming into today, 15 of the 21 analysts in coverage considered Lowe's stock a "buy" or better, while six said "hold." The 12-month consensus target price of $219.52 is a 12.3% premium to last night's close. 

Option traders have echoed this optimism. At the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), Lowe's stock sports a 10-day call/put volume ratio of 2.64, which stands higher than 79% of readings from the past 12 months. This suggests calls are being picked up at a much quicker-than-usual clip. 

 

Published on May 13, 2021 at 7:07 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

Today's Stock Market News & Events: 5/13/2021

by Schaeffer's Digital Content Team

Things more initial and continuing jobless claims data are due out. Plus, with inflation a hot topic of late, the producer price index (PPI) will garner some much earned attention.

The following companies are slated to release quarterly earnings reports today, May 13:

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE:BABA -- $219.90) engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. Alibaba will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

The AZEK Co. Inc. (NYSE:AZEK -- $44.40) engages in designing, manufacturing, and selling building products for residential, commercial, and industrial markets. AZEK will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Bilibili Inc. (NASDAQ:BILI -- $93.90) represents the iconic brand of online entertainment for young generations in China. Bilibili will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Brookfield Asset Management Inc. (NYSE:BAM -- $44.74) engages in the management of public and private investment products and services. Brookfield will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (NYSE:GOOS -- $41.49) designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury apparel. Canada Goose will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Casper Sleep Inc. (NYSE:CSPR -- $9.69) designs and sells sleep products to consumers. Casper Sleep will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Celsius Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:CELH -- $46.13) develops, markets, distributes, and sells functional calorie-burning fitness beverages. Celsius will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Compugen Ltd. (NASDAQ:CGEN -- $6.87) engages in the research, development, and commercialization of therapeutic and product candidates. Compugen will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Haemonetics Corp. (NYSE:HAE -- $59.83) provides hematology products and solutions.. Haemonetics will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

National Vision Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:EYE -- $46.91) operates as an optical retailer in the United States. National Vision will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

NICE Ltd. (NASDAQ:NICE -- $222.03) provides enterprise software solutions. NICE will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

PGT Innovations Inc. (NYSE:PGTI -- $24.10) manufactures and supplies impact-resistant residential windows and doors. PGT Innovations will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Sotera Health Co. (NASDAQ:SHC -- $23.79) provides sterilization, and lab testing and advisory services to the medical device, pharmaceutical, and food products industries. Sotera Health will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Teekay LNG Partners L.P. (NYSE:TGP -- $14.75) provides marine transportation services focusing on liquefied natural gas (LNG) and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). Teekay LNG Partners will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Teekay Tankers Ltd. (NYSE:TNK -- $13.71) provides marine transportation services to oil industries. Teekay Tankers will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Tufin Software Technologies Ltd. (NYSE:TUFN -- $8.50) develops, markets, and sells software-based solutions. Tufin Software will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ:VRTX -- $212.68) engages in developing and commercializing therapies for treating cystic fibrosis. Vertex will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Xpeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV -- $24.76) designs, develops, manufactures, and markets smart electric vehicles in the People’s Republic of China. Xpeng will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

YETI Holdings Inc. (NYSE:YETI -- $81.42) designs, markets, retails, and distributes products for the outdoor and recreation market under the YETI brand. YETI Holdings will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Airbnb Inc. (NASDAQ:ABNB -- $140.25) operates a platform for stays and experiences to guests. Airbnb will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 after the market closes today.

Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN -- $283.61) provides financial infrastructure and technology for the cryptoeconomy. Coinbase Global will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 after the market closes today.

Dillard's Inc. (NYSE:DDS -- $97.17) operates retail department stores in the United States. Dillard's will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 after the market closes today.

DoorDash Inc. (NYSE:DASH -- $112.99) operates a logistics platform that connects merchants, consumers, and dashers. DoorDash will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 after the market closes today.

Farfetch Ltd. (NYSE:FTCH -- $38.75) provides an online marketplace for luxury fashion goods. Farfetch will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 after the market closes today.

Globant S.A. (NYSE:GLOB -- $205.32) operates as a technology services company. Globant will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 after the market closes today.

GoodRx Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:GDRX -- $205.32) provides information and tools to enables consumers compare prices and save on their prescription drug purchases in the United States. GoodRx will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 after the market closes today.

New Relic Inc. (NYSE:NEWR -- $56.91) provides platform that companies use to build, develop, and operate their digital businesses. New Relic will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 after the market closes today.

Plantronics Inc. (NYSE:PLT -- $37.68) provides safety, specialty, and industrial services. Plantronics will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 after the market closes today.

PubMatic Inc. (NASDAQ:PUBM -- $37.91) provides a cloud infrastructure platform that enables real-time programmatic advertising transactions for Internet content creators and advertisers. PubMatic will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 after the market closes today.

The Walt Disney Co. (NYSE:DIS -- $177.85) operates as an entertainment company. Walt Disney will report its Q1 earnings of 2021 after the market closes today.

Looking ahead to tomorrow, it'll be an absolutely packed Friday featuring retail sales, the import price index, and industrial production. Consumer sentiment, business inventories, and capacity utilization reports are also slated for release.

All economic dates listed here are tentative and subject to change.
Published on May 12, 2021 at 2:39 PM
Updated on May 12, 2021 at 4:04 PM
  • Quantitative Analysis

It's safe to say the shares of GameStop Corp. (NYSE:GME) have quieted a bit since the Reddit-fueled madness that turned the stock (and much of the broader market for a time) volatile late last winter. In April, the equity saw a relatively muted one-month drop of 8.6%, and it looks to be steadily sliding lower through May, down 16% so far. Of course, GME is still trading well above where it stood back before these speculators got their hands on the retail concern, boasting a year-over-year gain of 3,105.9%. This afternoon, GME is up 0.5% at $147.

There's evidence the stock could stage a short-term bounce, too. Looking at one study from Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, data shows GME coming within one standard deviation of its 80-day moving average following a lengthy period above the trendline. GME has seen three similar moves during the past three years. One week after each of these signals, the stock was higher, averaging an impressive 60.8% return. from its current perch, a move of similar magnitude would put the security just below the $234 level, which sits near the low-end of its mid-March peak. 

Clearly, the extreme volatility that erupted on the charts cannot be discounted for inflating this five-day return, though it should be pointed out that the trendline has acted as a trusty floor for GameStop since its penny stock days back in August 2020. The $150 region could provide an additional buffer as well, as its captured several pullbacks since March. GME May 12

Short sellers are beginning to climb back on the bearish bandwagon with GME. Short interest rose 10.5% in the last two reporting periods, and now makes up a hefty 20.8% of the stock's available float. 

Meanwhile, the options pits are pricing in relatively low volatility expectations for GameStop stock. The security's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 105% stands higher than only 7% of readings from the past 12 months. In other words, GME options can be had at an affordable premium right now. 

Published on May 12, 2021 at 2:22 PM
  • Quantitative Analysis

 

 
Published on May 12, 2021 at 11:22 AM
Updated on May 12, 2021 at 2:03 PM
  • Technical Analysis
  • Options Recommendations
Software concern VMware, Inc. (NYSE:VMW) recently found support at the $157 mark, which also happens to be the same level that put pressure on the equity in May, June, and October of 2020. What's more, the 20-day moving average is helping the shares move higher on the charts. With these technical layers of support in place, now looks like a great time to purchase VMW calls.
 
Additional tailwinds could also come from a shift in the options pits. This is per VMware stock's 10-day put/call volume ratio at the international Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQOMX PHLX (PHLX), which ranks in the 79th percentile of readings from the past year.

Currently, analysts are split on the security, with nine of the 17 in coverage rating it a "buy" or better versus eight that recommend a "hold" rating. This leaves plenty of room for upgrades going forward. Short interest has been on the rise too, and is currently sitting at its highest level in two years. The 11.37 million shares sold short represent a healthy 14.6% of the stock's available float, though it has yet to roll over.

Lastly, now looks like an affordable time to weigh in on VMW's next move with options, as the stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 27% sits higher than 11% of readings from the past year. This is a boon for premium buyers, as it indicates options are particularly cheap at the moment. Our recommended call has a leverage ratio of 8.8 and will double in value on a 10.6% rise in the underlying security.

Subscribers to Schaeffer's Weekend Trader options recommendation service received this VMW commentary on Sunday night, along with a detailed options trade recommendation -- including complete entry and exit parameters. Learn more about why Weekend Trader is one of our most popular options trading services.
Published on May 12, 2021 at 10:19 AM
Updated on May 12, 2021 at 10:51 AM
  • Buzz Stocks
 Drilling down to today's options activity, 6,383 calls and 4,902 puts have already crossed the tape, which is 10 times what is typically seen at this point. Most popular is the weekly 5/14 150-strike call, followed by the 5/28 135-strike put, with new positions being opened at the latter.
Published on May 12, 2021 at 10:45 AM
  • Intraday Option Activity
  • Buzz Stocks
FUBO options are taking off post-earnings, with overall volume running at five times what's typically seen at this point. So far, 99,000 calls and 52,000 puts have crossed the tape, with the weekly 5/14 21-strike call, where new positions are being opened, seeing the most activity. 

 

Published on May 12, 2021 at 10:16 AM
  • Intraday Option Activity
  • Buzz Stocks
Wendy's typically quiet options pits are exploding today, with traders from both sides of the aisle chiming in. So far, 6,441 calls and 5,587 puts have exchanged hands -- 68 times the intraday average.
Published on May 12, 2021 at 9:25 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

Intuit Inc. (NASDAQ:INTU) is gearing up for its fiscal third-quarter earnings release, expected out later this month after the market closes on Tuesday, May 25. The company said on Tuesday that it will most likely top the fiscal 2021 sales and earnings forecast it set in February, though revenue could lag because of this year's tax filing extension to  May 17. RBC lifted its price target to $490 from $480 in response. 

Intuit stock is flat despite the announcement, last seen just a hair's breadth above last night's close at $395. The past year has been a choppy one for INTU, with the $420 mark acting as a ceiling on two separate occasions since February, keeping the stock from reclaiming its Feb 16. all-time high of $423.74. Nevertheless, the security still sports a 37.2% year-to-date lead, with the 120-day moving average containing most of INTU's pullbacks since April 2020. 

Analysts are overwhelmingly bullish on the equity. Coming into today, 12 considered the stock a "strong buy," compared to just three "hold" ratings. Plus, the 12-month consensus price target of $451.61 is a 14.3% premium to current levels. 

Options traders have taken a much different stance. In fact, over six puts have been picked up for every call during the past two  weeks at the  International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX). This ratio stands higher than all but 2% of readings from the past 12 months, suggesting a much healthier-than-usual appetite for long puts of late. 

Short sellers have been targeting INTU in droves, too. Short interest surged 26.5% in the most recent reporting period. The 2.91 million shares sold short still make up a slim 1.1% of the stock's available float, though, and it would take a little over two days to buy back these bearish bets at INTU's average daily pace of  trading. 

Published on May 12, 2021 at 9:25 AM
  • Earnings Preview

Breaking Down This Vehicle Giant's Earnings History

by Schaeffer's Digital Content Team
 
Published on May 12, 2021 at 9:16 AM
  • Earnings Preview
 

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