Earnings Season Highlights

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A collection of noteworthy post-earnings reactions
Published on Mar 31, 2021 at 2:51 PM
  • Analyst Update
 
Published on Mar 31, 2021 at 1:42 PM
  • Options Recommendations
  • Editor's Pick

Retail name Big Lots Inc (NYSE:BIG) has climbed up the charts for the better part of the year with support from the 20-day moving average guiding shares higher since breaking out past their autumn 2020 highs. The $63.84 level, which is six times BIG's March closing low, and the $62.50 level, which is home to its pre-earnings close, also held as support last Thursday. Big Lots stock's +50% year-to-date level was supportive last week, too, making now a good time to speculate on the security's next move with call options.

BIG WT Repost

The equity's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.65 stands higher than all other readings from the past year, and an unwinding of some of this pessimism could lead BIG higher, too. Plus, SOIR readings above 1.00 have historically led to pops in price action. 
 
Short sellers have been in covering mode of late, with short interest down 13.3% in the last two reporting periods. The 4.74 shares sold short still make up a hefty 13.7% of BIG's float, which could help the equity gain some upward momentum, should more of these shorts jump off the bearish bandwagon. 
 

Big Lots options can be had a bargain right now, per the security's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 52%, which stands higher than just 2% of readings from the past year, implying option traders are pricing in relatively low volatility expectations at the moment. Adding to this, BIG's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) ranks at 91 out of a possible 100. This means the stock has tended to exceed these expectations -- a good thing for option buyers. Lastly, our recommended call option has a leverage ratio of 4.1 and will double in a 25.4% pop in the underlying equity.

Subscribers to Schaeffer's Weekend Trader options recommendation service received this BIG commentary on Sunday night, along with a detailed options trade recommendation -- including complete entry and exit parameters. Learn more about why Weekend Trader is one of our most popular options trading services.

Published on Mar 31, 2021 at 12:29 PM
  • Buzz Stocks
 
Published on Mar 31, 2021 at 11:24 AM
Updated on Mar 31, 2021 at 11:24 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

The shares of Harley-Davidson Inc (NYSE:HOG) are up 7.3% at $40.29 this morning, following an upgrade from Baird to "outperform" from "neutral." This is the first time since 2016 the analyst has turned bullish on the stock, noting a promising shift in strategic direction and slimmer inventories. Meanwhile, Wedbush also chimed in, lifting its price target to $43 from $42. 

There's still plenty of room for analysts to follow Baird's lead, as the 12-month consensus price target of $38.25 is a nearly 5% discount to current levels. Plus, coming into today, nine of the 13 analysts in coverage still considered HOG a "hold."

Today's price action has HOG trading its highest level in nearly two months, closing its early February bear gap, and toppling recent pressure at its 80-day moving average. The equity sports an impressive 112.7% year-over-year lead, and is looking to close out the month of March with a solid 13% win. 

While short interest has been on the decline, a further unravelling could put even more wind at the stock's back. Short interest fell 8.8% in the last two reporting periods, though the 16.64 million shares sold short make up a solid 10.9% of HOG's available float, and would take almost eight days to cover at its average daily pace of trading. 

A shift in the options pits could also give HOG a boost. At the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), Harley-Davidson stock sports a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 2.17, which stands higher than 79% of readings from the past 12 months. This implies puts are being picked up at a much quicker-than-usual clip. 

For those wanting to speculate on the equity's next move, options can be had at a relative bargain right now. This is per the stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 46%, which sits in the very low fifth percentile of its annual range. In other words, options traders are pricing in low volatility expectations for the motorcycle manufacturer at the moment.  

Published on Mar 31, 2021 at 10:01 AM
  • Analyst Update
 
Published on Mar 31, 2021 at 9:23 AM
  • Analyst Update
 
Published on Mar 31, 2021 at 9:08 AM
  • Earnings Preview

What Paychex Stock Has to Offer Ahead of Earnings

by Schaeffer's Digital Content Team
 
Published on Mar 31, 2021 at 8:00 AM
  • Indicator of the Week
    
Published on Mar 31, 2021 at 7:32 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

Today's Stock Market News & Events: 3/31/2021

by Schaeffer's Digital Content Team

The ADP employment report for March, as well as the Chicago PMI, and pending home sales data are all due out today.

The following companies are slated to release quarterly earnings report today, March 31:

Acuity Brands Inc. (NYSE:AYI -- $145.61) engages in the provision of lighting and building management solutions and services. Acuity Brands will report its Q2 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Conn's Inc. (NASDAQ:CONN -- $15.65) engages in the retail and provision of consumer goods and related services. Conn's will report its Q4 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. (NASDAQ:WBA -- $52.98) engages in the provision of drug store services. Walgreens Boots Alliance will report its Q2 earnings of 2021 before the bell today.

Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. (NASDAQ:PLAY -- $47.66) owns and operates entertainment and dining venues for adults and families in North America. Dave & Buster's will report its Q4 earnings of 2020 after the close today.

Guess’ Inc. (NYSE:GES -- $23.20) designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. Guess’ will report its Q4 earnings of 2020 after the close today.

Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MU -- $86.54) designs, manufactures, and sells memory and storage products. Micron will report its Q2 earnings of 2021 after the close today.

nCino Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO -- $64.07) provides cloud-based software applications for financial institutions. nCino will report its Q4 earnings of 2021 after the close today.

Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:SPWH -- $17.29) operates as an outdoor sporting goods retailer in the United States. Sportsman’s Warehouse will report its Q4 earnings of 2020 after the close today.

Verint Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:VRNT -- $44.85) provides actionable intelligence solutions. Verint Systems will report its Q4 earnings of 2020 after the close today.

Looking ahead to the first day of April tomorrow, the new month will bring a bevy of economic data with it, including initial and continuous jobless claims, the Markit manufacturing PMI, the ISM manufacturing index, data on construction spending, and motor vehicles sales. 

Please note that the U.S. stock markets will be closed for the full trading day on Friday, April 2, in observance of Good Friday. The week will close out on Thursday, April 1, at 4:00 p.m. ET and trading will resume again on Monday, April 5, at 9:30 a.m. ET.

All economic dates listed here are tentative and subject to change.

Published on Mar 30, 2021 at 2:52 PM
Updated on Mar 30, 2021 at 3:57 PM
  • Quantitative Analysis

 

 
Published on Mar 30, 2021 at 12:38 PM
  • Earnings Preview
 
Published on Mar 30, 2021 at 11:54 AM
  • Earnings Preview
  • Buzz Stocks

Lennox Stock Overdue for Fresh Round of Bull Notes

by Schaeffer's Digital Content Team
 

Begin the New Year With Schaeffer's 7 FREE 2022 Stock Picks!

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