Software Stock Could Be Headed Toward New Heights

The equity is up an impressive 154.4% year-over-year

Digital Content Manager
Jul 13, 2020 at 1:00 PM
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The shares of Digital Turbine Inc (NASDAQ: APPS) are stagnant this afternoon, after earlier taking another run at their July 16, 12-year high of $13.96. While the equity is currently trading flat at $13.22, investors shouldn't turn their backs on APPS just yet. On top of an impressive 154.4% year-over-year lead, and solid support at the 10-day moving average directly below, a bullish signal just flashed that could indicate more upside on the horizon.

According to a study from Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, this record high comes amid historically low implied volatility (IV). White's data shows that there have been two other times in the past five years when the stock was trading within 2% of its 52-week high, while its Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) sat in the 20th percentile of its annual range or lower -- as is the case with APPS' current SVI of 91%, which sits in the 18th percentile of its 12-month range. The equity saw positive one-month returns on one of these signals, averaging a return of 17.3%. From its current perch, a move of similar magnitude would put the stock at $16.38, eclipsing its recent peak

APPS July 13

A look at the equity's options pits show calls are overwhelming puts. In fact, 2,779 calls were exchanged in the past 10 days, as opposed to only 216 puts. Meanwhile, Digital Turbine stock's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 0.23 stands higher than just 34% of readings from the past year, implying short-term options traders have been more call-biased than usual.

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