GDX Put Buyer Braces for a Big Retreat

GDX's December 23 put was in high demand on Wednesday

Sep 19, 2019 at 12:28 PM
facebook X logo linkedin

Gold prices have been surging since June amid increasing U.S.-China trade tensions and signs of a slowing global economy. This positive price action has been seen in the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), which tapped a three-year high at $30.96 on Sept. 4. The exchange-traded fund (ETF) has since eased back from this peak, and one options trader is positioned for more short-term downside.

Taking a look at Wednesday's options activity shows GDX puts crossed at 1.8 times the average daily pace, with around 102,000 contracts traded. The December 23 put was most active, due to two blocks totaling 30,028 contracts that changed hands above the ask price for $0.25 apiece.

If these puts were bought to open, the initial cash outlay for the speculator was $750,700 (number of contracts * premium paid * 100 shares per contract). This is the most the put buyer stands to lose, should GDX settle north of $23 at December options expiration.

Profit, meanwhile, will accumulate on a move below breakeven at $22.75 (strike less premium paid). However, it's possible the activity at this deep out of the strike came at the hands of shareholders initiating a protective put, meaning their long-term goal is for gold to keep rising.

Looking closer at the charts, GDX's pullback from its early September high stalled out near $27 -- a region that contained an early August retreat, and is home to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the fund's surge from its late-May lows near $20 to that recent peak. Just below here is its rising 80-day trendline, which helped usher GDX higher in the first quarter. Year-to-date, the shares are up 32.7% to trade at $28.01.

gdx shares daily price chart on sept 19


Target Effortless Triple-Digit Gains Every Sunday Evening For Life!

This is your chance to triple your profit potential on Sunday evenings, without spending all your free time watching the market.

On Sundays, as a Weekend Plus subscriber, you’ll get up to 6 trades every Sunday, each targeting gains of 200% or more.

Start targeting gains like the ones our subscribers have seen recently, including:

213.3% GAIN on AutoNation calls
100.0% GAIN on Monster Beverage calls
100.4% GAIN on Walgreens Boots Alliance puts
100.4% GAIN on ON Semiconductor calls
257.7% GAIN on Dell calls

101.0% GAIN on Apollo Global Management calls
103.6% GAIN on JP Morgan  Chase calls
105.3% GAIN on DraftKings calls
101.3% GAIN on Airbnb calls
203.0% GAIN on Shopify calls
102.0% GAIN on Cboe Global Markets calls
100.9% GAIN on Boeing calls
102.1% GAIN on Microsoft puts
102.3% GAIN on First Solar calls
101.5% GAIN on PulteGroup calls
101.0% GAIN on Apple calls
209.4% GAIN on NXP Semiconductors calls
100.8% GAIN on Uber Technologies calls
100.4% GAIN on Academy Sports and Outdoors puts
102.2% GAIN on Trade Desk calls
100.8% GAIN on DoorDash calls
100.0% GAIN on Camping World Holdings puts
100.0% GAIN on Cboe Global Markets calls
100.2% GAIN on calls
238.5% GAIN on Oracle calls



Rainmaker Ads CGI