Natural Gas Stock Could Feel More Pain

Some reasons traders may want to speculate on downside for PXD shares

Mar 6, 2019 at 8:30 AM
facebook twitter linkedin

Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD) has been in a long-term downtrend since peaking above $210 in May. While the security has bounced from its late-December lows, it’s run into a potential wall in the form of its 80-day moving average, which could smack PXD even lower. On the fundamental front, the company is in a transition period, with its CEO recently announcing his retirement. We believe now is an opportune time to speculate on the next leg lower for the shares.

pxd stock chart

Despite the stock’s decline over the past several months, analysts remain overly optimistic. PXD boasts a whopping 29 “strong buy” endorsements, compared to just two “holds” and not a single “sell” rating. Likewise, the consensus 12-month price target of $199.95 represents a 38% premium to current levels. As such, PXD is vulnerable to analyst downgrades and price-target cuts, which could further weigh on the shares.

Options traders also remain bullishly biased. The stock’s 10-day call/put volume ratio on the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) is 1.58, in the 77th percentile of its annual range. Likewise, the equity’s Schaeffer’s put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 0.74 is in the bottom third of its annual range, suggesting near-term call open interest is more prevalent than usual. Since 2018, PXD SOIRs below 1.0 have preceded downturns for the shares, and an exodus of option bulls could be on the horizon again.

Finally, PXD sports a Schaeffer’s Volatility Index (SVI) of 31% -- higher than just 20% of all other readings from the past year, suggesting near-term options are attractively priced right now.

Subscribers to Schaeffer's Weekend Trader options recommendation service received this PXD commentary on Sunday night, along with a detailed options trade recommendation -- including complete entry and exit parameters. Learn more about why Weekend Trader is one of our most popular options trading services.

If you are not making money with options, you aren’t buying options like this…

There is no options strategy that more perfectly approaches trading the fastest moving and most volatile stocks available in the marketplace than this one. In fact, there is no strategy that better utilizes put options for optimal returns and a real trading edge over other traders in the exact same market. New options traders fail out at an incredible rate without proper trade research, execution timing, and option picking. Capitalize on Schaeffer’s 100+ years of options trading excellence with the most coveted product launch in company history. Don't waste another second... join us right now before the next round of trades are released!



Special Offers from Schaeffer's Trading Partners