Dollar Tree Stock Could Have Room To Run

Short-term options traders are extremely put-heavy towards DLTR stock

Research Dept.
Oct 17, 2017 at 10:01 AM
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Shares of retailer Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) have been on a tear in recent months. Despite a downgrade on Oct. 13, the stock managed to hit a 52-week high, bringing its year-to-date lead to nearly 19%. The shares just broke north of a trendline connecting lower highs since this time last year, and could be headed to higher highs.

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A round of bullish analyst attention could help DLTR stock rise further. Currently, half the brokerage firms covering the security give it just a "hold" rating, leaving the door open for future upgrades. Given the equity's strong technical performance, this wouldn't be surprising.

Plus, near-term options traders are unusually put-skewed. This is according to its Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.04, which ranks in the high 90th annual percentile. The stock could experience tailwinds as this indicator reverts back to more normal levels.

Meanwhile, Dollar Tree has a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 20% that ranks just 2 percentage points from a 12-month low, so volatility expectations appear muted at the moment. And with a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 99, DLTR has shown a tendency to make bigger-than-expected moves on the charts during the past year.

Subscribers to Schaeffer's Weekend Trader Series options recommendation service received this DLTR commentary on Sunday night, along with a detailed options trade recommendation -- including complete entry and exit parameters. Learn more about why Weekend Trader is one of our most popular options trading services.


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