Schaeffer's 43rd Anniversary Stock Picks in 2024

The $1.1 Million Bearish Bet On Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)

Marathon Petroleum Corp (NYSE:MPC) has been rallying with crude futures recently, but put buying has been picking up speed

Dec 21, 2016 at 10:09 AM
facebook X logo linkedin


Options traders have been growing increasingly skeptical of Marathon Petroleum Corp (NYSE:MPC) of late. At the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), MPC's 10-day put/call volume ratio has jumped to 2.61 from 0.21 over the past two weeks. What's more, the current ratio ranks just 7 percentage points from a 52-week peak, meaning puts have been bought to open over calls at a near-annual-high clip on the energy stock.

This heavy put trading was in full view in Tuesday's session, where 53,919 puts crossed the tape -- 14 times the average daily volume of 3,691, and an annual high for the number of MPC puts traded in a single session. As a point of comparison, fewer than 5,400 calls changed hands, slightly higher than the expected daily amount of 4,979 calls.

Nearly all of the day's put volume centered at the April 35 strike, due to a massive block of 22,853 that Trade-Alert suggests was bought to open for an initial cash outlay of $1.1 million (number of contracts * $0.50 premium paid * 100 shares per contract). What's more, a separate block of 14,481 April 35 puts also appears to have been bought to open for $0.50 apiece, resulting in a net debit of $724,050. While it's not clear if these two transactions are related, the expectation is the same -- for MPC stock to breach $35 by April options expiration. Risk is limited to the initial price paid, while profit will accumulate on a move below breakeven at $34.50 (strike less $0.50 premium).

Given the energy stock's strong technical backdrop, it's possible some of the recent put buying -- particularly at out-of-the-money strikes -- is a result of shareholders protecting paper profits against a pullback. In fact, the shares of Marathon Petroleum Corp (NYSE:MPC) haven't traded south of $35 since late June, and are up 47.6% since bottoming at a post-Brexit low of $32.84 on June 27 -- more recently, rising in step with crude futures. Plus, although the energy stock is down 1.9% today to trade at $48.46, it appears to have found a foothold in the $48.50 area, home to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its July 2015 highs and February 2016 lows.

Sign up now for Schaeffer's Market Recap to get all the day's big stock movers, must-know technical levels, and top economic stories straight to your inbox.
 

Nvidia and its powerful chips are the face of artificial intelligence.

But while everyone’s patting Nvidia on the back for record earnings…

It’s quietly moved on to the next phase of AI it plans to conquer…

Nvidia recently unveiled essential blueprints for this crucial $1 trillion pivot.

Click here now and find out about the three companies Nvidia absolutely needs to succeed in this vital new AI frontier. (ad)
schaeffer's opening view daily market newsletter

                                                                                                   
๐Ÿš€ Try Options Under $5 Trade Alerts 
Target +150% Profit w/RT Entry&Exit

                                                                                                    

 
 

                                                                                                   
This stock is paying its highest dividend
in 15 years . . . ๐Ÿ“ˆ (c/o Investors Alley)

                                                                                                    

 


                                                                                                   
Top 10 Investment Picks Poised For
Major Upside Before 2025 ๐Ÿ’ฐ
 (FREE)

                                                                                                    

 

join schaeffer's market recap daily stock marketnewsletter

 

                                               ad                                                  
Some of Nvidia’s partners have already
surged as much as 4,744%. This is next …

                                                ad