Options Traders Have High Expectations for MCD Earnings

Speculators are betting on a big upside move from McDonald's Corporation (MCD)

Apr 21, 2015 at 12:19 PM
facebook twitter linkedin


McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD) is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings before the open tomorrow, and options traders are taking a bullish stance ahead of the event. Calls are trading at twice the normal intraday volume, with the weekly 4/24 98-strike call leading the way by a wide margin. It appears speculators are buying to open the contracts, expecting MCD to topple $98 by Friday's close, when the series expires.

At last check, the shares were 1.1% lower at $95.08, meaning they would need to add 3.1% within the next three days in order for the weekly 4/24 98-strike calls to finish in the money. History isn't on the side of the bulls, though. Out of MCD's last eight trips to the earnings confessional, it's only mustered one positive post-earnings session -- back in January 2014. When MCD reported this past January, the equity dropped 1.5% in the session following the announcement.

Outside of today, the security has actually seen an uptick in put buying, according to data from the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX). Across these exchanges, MCD has accumulated a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.38, which outranks 93% of all similar readings from the past year. In other words, puts have been bought to open over calls at a faster-than-usual rate.

150421mcd

Analysts certainly aren't believers in McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD), issuing 15 "hold" or "sell" ratings. The shares have earned this negative outlook by falling 4.3% in the past 12 months.

 

If you are not making money with options, you aren’t buying options like this…

There is no options strategy that more perfectly approaches trading the fastest moving and most volatile stocks available in the marketplace than this one. In fact, there is no strategy that better utilizes put options for optimal returns and a real trading edge over other traders in the exact same market. New options traders fail out at an incredible rate without proper trade research, execution timing, and option picking. Capitalize on Schaeffer’s 100+ years of options trading excellence with the most coveted product launch in company history. Don't waste another second... join us right now before the next round of trades are released!

SCHAEFFER'S JULY STOCKS REPORT AD
 


 


 
Special Offers from Schaeffer's Trading Partners