5MRD

Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras Bears See More Trouble Ahead

Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA's (ADR) (PBR) May 5 put is popular today

Mar 27, 2015 at 2:09 PM
facebook X logo linkedin


Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA (ADR) (NYSE:PBR) is down 0.4% at $5.77 this afternoon, as crude oil retreats amid easing tensions in the Middle East. Options traders are responding in kind, with puts trading at 1.2 times the expected intraday rate, and outpacing calls by a more than 2-to-1 margin.

Most active is PBR's May 5 put, where 9,511 contracts have crossed the tape. It appears some of these positions are being bought to open for a volume-weighted average price (VWAP) of $0.30, making at-expiration breakeven for the put buyers $4.70 (strike less VWAP) -- a new 11-year low for PBR. Should the shares be sitting north of the strike at the close on Friday, May 15 -- when back-month options expire -- the most the speculators stand to lose is 100% of the premium paid.

Today's accelerated put activity is nothing new for the stock. At the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), PBR's 50-day put/call volume ratio of 0.58 ranks in the 89th annual percentile. Just two weeks ago, in fact, traders were rolling the dice on the stock to hit even lower lows over the next several weeks.

What's more, that same day, PBR bottomed at an 11-year low of $4.90. Longer term, the shares have surrendered 72% since hitting an annual high of $20.94 in early September, amid increasing pressure from their 40-day moving average. Off the charts, Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA (NYSE:PBR) announced it has nominated Vale SA (NYSE:VALE) CEO Murilo Ferreira to head its board. Additionally, the company has cut off payments to Brazil engineering firm Galvao Engenharia -- which has filed for bankruptcy protection -- amid its ongoing corruption scandal.

Daily Chart of PBR Since September 2014 With 40-Day Moving Average
 

$40 = 4 Trades That Can Move the Needle

Start your trading week with a ready-to-execute trade hand selected by Schaeffer's very own Senior VP of Research Todd Salamone. 

Our Trade of the Week is backed by 30+ years of experience and will provide you the market insight, research, and trade management you need to act with confidence.

One month. 4 trades. Only $10 per trade!

👉 Click Here to Get Your First Trade Before Monday’s Opening Bell

tesla
 
 
 
 

Follow us on X, Follow us on Twitter