Not Even Raised Guidance Can Lift American Airlines Stock

AAL carries a hefty 32.7% deficit so far in 2022

Digital Content Manager
Oct 11, 2022 at 10:44 AM
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American Airlines Group Inc (NASDAQ:AAL) is down 1% to trade at $11.93 at last check, despite the company hiking its third-quarter revenue outlook. The airline said it sees a roughly 13% jump in quarterly revenue compared to 2019, with cost per available seat mile expected to rise 14%. 

AAL is heading toward a five-day losing streak and remains near its Oct. 3, roughly two-year low of $11.65. The shares' descending 80-day moving average has capped rallies since mid-August, and a new short-term ceiling seems to be forming around the $13.20 region. Year-to-date, AAL is down 32.7%.

Puts are growing in popularity in the options pits. At the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), AAL sports a 10-day buy-to-open put/call ratio of 0.98, which sits in the 93rd percentile of its annual range.

Echoing this, the security's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) sits at 1.60, and is higher than 71% of annual readings, indicating short-term options players have been much more put-biased than usual.

It's also worth pointing out that AAL ranks low on the Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS), with a score of 22 out of 100. In other words, the security has consistently realized lower volatility than its options have priced in, making the stock a potential premium-selling candidate.


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