Upbeat Forecast Sends Coty Stock Off Annual Lows

Strong demand for cosmetics and skincare has given the Cover Girl parent a boost

Digital Content Manager
May 9, 2022 at 9:23 AM
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Cover Girl and Max Factor parent Coty Inc (NYSE:COTY) is brushing off this morning's selloff, last seen up 3% at $7.50 ahead of the open, following the firm's fiscal third-quarter earnings report. Coty posted profits of 6 cents per share on $1.19 billion in revenue, topping analysts' estimates. The company also lifted its full-year forecast, noting resilient demand for luxury cosmetics, fragrances, and skincare products, despite the surge in inflation.

Though it fell to an annual low of $7.07 on Friday, it looks like COTY could find its footing at the $7.15 level, which has been capturing pullbacks on the stock since early 2021. Nevertheless, Coty stock has a ways to go if it wants to erase its 31.7% year-to-date deficit, or reclaim pressure at any of its short- or long-term trendlines, most notably its 1,000-day moving average, which has acted as a ceiling since February. 

Its also worth noting that COTY sits firmly in "oversold" territory, indicating that a short-term bounce might already be in the cards. This is per its 14-day Relative Strength index (RSI) of 27. 

Analysts remain mum, and coming into today the brokerage bunch was split. Of the nine in coverage, five say "buy" or better, while fur consider the stock a "hold" or worse. Meanwhile, the 12 month consensus price target of $12.54 is a 72.3% premium to current levels. 

Short sellers, meanwhile, have hit the exits lately. Short interest fell nearly 33% in the most recent reporting period, though the 21.20 million shares sold short still make up 5.9% of the stock's available float, leaving additional room for a short squeeze. 

 

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