Earnings Beat Boosts Building Name to Record Highs

Options volume is running at 11 times the intraday average

Deputy Editor
Dec 8, 2021 at 10:35 AM
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Toll Brothers Inc (NYSE:TOL) stock is up 1.6% to trade at $72.35 at last check, after the company's strong fiscal fourth-quarter report. The building name reported earnings of $3.02 per share on revenue of $2.95 billion, which is higher than the estimated $2.49 per share on $2.88 billion. Further, Toll Brothers forecasted a 20% growth in fiscal 2022 revenue, as it expects demand levels to remain elevated.

Earlier this morning, the stock hit a record high of $73.44, and is on track for its fifth win in the last six sessions. After its recent rally, TOL is firmly above all short- and long-term moving averages, and boasts a 66% year-to-date lead. 

Though short interest is falling off, it still represents 4.5% of Toll Brothers stock's available float. In other words, it would take a week to buy back these bearish bets, at TOL's average pace of trading. 

Analysts are split on the security, and have yet to chime in on the results. Of the 13 in coverage, six carry a "buy" or better rating, with seven a "hold" or worse. Meanwhile, the 12-month consensus price target of $70.68 is a 2.2% discount to current levels. 

Options traders, on the other hand, are blasting TOL this morning, with options volume running at 11 times what's typically seen, and pacing for the top percentile of its annual range. So far, 4,008 calls and 3,590 puts have crossed the tape. The weekly 12/10 74-strike call is the most popular, and new positions are being opened there. 


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