Analyst Says to Sell Deere Stock After Earnings

DE is extending its post-earnings losses today

Nov 29, 2019 at 9:58 AM
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Analysts are chiming in on Deere & Company (NYSE:DE) this morning, after the farm equipment maker's disastrous turn in the earnings confessional on Wednesday. While DZ Bank downgraded DE stock to "sell" from "hold," UBS lowered its price target to $169 from $180. On the flip side, CFRA on Wednesday night raised its Deere price target to $176 from $158, while RBC last night lifted its target price to $190 from $175.

Options traders, meanwhile, have grown increasingly bullish on Deere stock in recent weeks. At the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), the equity's 10-day call/put volume ratio of 0.97 ranks in the 74th annual percentile. So while puts have outpaced calls on an absolute basis, the rate of call buying relative to put buying has been quicker than usual.

In the wake of Wednesday morning's earnings report, implied volatility on short-term options has imploded -- making it an attractive time to purchase premium. At last check, DE's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 20% registered in the 3rd percentile of its annual range, meaning near-term options have priced in lower volatility expectations just 3% of the time in the past year.

Looking closer at the charts, DE shares plunged 4.3% on Wednesday, breaching their 50-day moving average on a closing basis for the first time since Sept. 9. The stock is extending this downside today, off 0.3% at $168.50, but remains nearly 13% higher year-to-date.


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