Earnings Power Under Armour Stock Surge

The athletic retailer is ripe for upgrades and price-target hikes

Managing Editor
Oct 30, 2018 at 9:26 AM
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The shares of Under Armour Inc (NYSE:UAA) are up 17.2% ahead of the bell, powered higher by the retailer's blowout third-quarter earnings report. Under Armour reported adjusted quarterly profit of 25 cents per share, exceeding the average analyst estimate of 12 cents per share. Revenue topped Wall Street projections, as well, while fiscal-year revenue and profit forecasts were also increased. The company cited expanding sales overseas as a driver for the upbeat results. 

Under Armour is on track to open near the top of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), and should the premarket price action hold, it would be the stock's best day since Feb. 13, when the shares surged 17.4% after earnings. Heading into today, UAA had shed 14% in October amid broad-market headwinds, but found support at its 320-day moving average.

Bearish bettors are likely be rocked today. While a healthy 10.4% of UAA's float is sold short, its top-heavy Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.36 ranks in the 97th annual percentile -- pointing to an extreme put-skew among short-term traders. An unwinding of pessimism in and out the options pits could fuel further gains for the stock.

Elsewhere, analysts have room to show the athletic apparel name some love, especially given today's the earnings beat. That could be soon on the way though, considering  21 of the 25 brokerages covering the equity rate it a "hold" or worse. In addition, UAA's average 12-month price target of $19.11 sits right at last night's close of $18.19.


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