Stock Futures Claw Back into Positive Territory

Promising vaccine data from Pfizer is spurring the rally

Deputy Editor
Jul 1, 2020 at 9:24 AM
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Now that the Wall Street's best quarter in decades has come to a close, futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) are resuming their roller coaster ride. Despite overnight losses of almost 200 points, Dow futures have fought back to climb modestly above fair value before the bell, as investors unpack the ADP employment report and encouraging vaccine data. Private payrolls jumped by 2.4 million in June, coming in below the 2.5 million estimates. The bigger news, however, came from the May revision, which pivoted to a 3.1 million gain from a previously reported 2.8 million loss.

S&P 500 Index (SPX) and Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) futures are also digging their way out of the red, with the help of encouraging vaccine data. Pfizer's (PFE) vaccine candidate showed encouraging early-stage results in neutralizing antibodies, although the data has yet to be reviewed by medical journals.

Continue reading for more on today's market, including:

  • Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White lays out a signal that shows the Nasdaq could do even better in the second half of 2020. 
  • This mall operator received a price-target hike amid huge reopenings. 
  • Plus, Denny's down after a common stock offering; United Airlines opening back up thousands of flights; and GIS wobbly post-earnings. 

New July 1 Futures

5 Things You Need to Know Today

  1. The Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE) saw 1.2 million call contracts traded on Tuesday, and 636,535 put contracts. The single-session equity put/call ratio fell to 0.52, and the 21-day moving average stayed at 0.51.
  2. Denny's Corporation (NASDAQ:DENN) is down 11.9% pre-market, after the restaurant chain announced plans for  a public offering of 8 million shares. The estimated range appears to be between $9.15 and $9.60, a 5-10% discount to Tuesday's close at $10.10. With overhead pressure at the 120-day moving average, the stock is down 49.2% year-to-date heading into today.
  3. United Airlines Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:UAL) is up 2.1% in electronic trading, after laying out plans to add around 25,000 flights to its schedule in August. This will have the airline adding 600 flights to 200 airports around the U.S., and resume 50 routes. In the last month, UAL is up 23.4%, with support emerging at its cresting 80-day moving average.
  4. General Mills Inc (NYSE:GIS) is down 2.5% before the bell, despite a fiscal fourth-quarter earnings and revenue beat on the heels of pandemic food stock-piling and a strong demand for the company's cereals and snacks. Instead,it appears investor concern remains about the company's 2021 sales, which General Mills warned could be down year-over-year. In 2020, the equity is up 15.1%, trading between the $60 and $65 regions for the last two months.
  5. Today will bring the Markit manufacturing index, the ISM manufacturing index, data on construction spending, and auto sales all on tap. Quarterly reports from Capri Holdings (CRPI) and Constellation Brands (STZ), are also on tap.

Buzz Chart July 1

Stocks Fall in Europe, Mixed Bag in Asia

Stocks in Asia were mixed today, after a private survey showed Chinese manufacturing activity in June was better than expected. China’s Shanghai Composite rose 1.4%, followed by Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, which closed the day 0.5% higher. Elsewhere, South Korea’s Kospi fell a paltry 0.08%, while the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) quarterly Tankan survey showed a worsening business mood, dragging the Nikkei down 0.8%.

Over in Europe, stocks are stumbling as economic data and surging COVID-19 cases weigh heavily on investors. France’s CAC 40 and the German DAX were both down 1.4% at last check, with the latter falling after technical issues on the Xetra trading platform caused volumes to lag at the start of the session. Lastly, London’s FTSE 100 is off 1.3%.


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