Strategies for Volatility in Options Trading

One reason to pay attention is the threat of a "volatility crush"

Deputy Editor
Mar 28, 2024 at 12:07 PM
    facebook X logo linkedin

    As new traders flood the market, a return to the basics may help novices understand the fundamentals of options trading. Volatility, for example, refers to the propensity of a security's price to move higher or lower.

    Implied volatility (IV) heavily influences the price of an option, because it measures the market's expectations for the underlying equity's performance during the life span of the option. The widely accepted rule is that higher IV means bearish price action, while lower IV is associated with bullish price action. For traders, this means that in the case of a high IV, options buyers might want to steer clear, as this means a more expensive cost of entry, whereas option sellers may want to capitalize as a way of maximizing the premium collected. It's worth noting that IV tends to move higher in anticipation of major events. 

    Often after these major events such as a quarterly earnings report, implied volatility drops suddenly in a "volatility crush." In this scenario, the "uncertainty premium" drops out of the option price after the event. The threat of a volatility crush means option buyers should pay attention to implied volatility levels prior to entering a trade. When the disconnect between implied volatility and the actual realized movement is wide enough, option buyers can end up losing money on a trade, even if the shares are moving in the right direction. A volatility crush can also occur if there's a significant plunge in the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX). 

    Historical Volatility (HV) is a backward-looking metric, as opposed to IV's forward-looking. The most common way to calculate HV, which measures how much the stock has moved over a set time frame, is to take the standard deviation of the difference between the stock's daily closing changes compared to the mean value of the stock during that same time period. In trading, HV is often used to compare to IV in order to gauge how much volatility can be expected going forward. 

    For a deeper dive into volatility, the VIX, and the implications they have on the market, check out our Schaeffer's Market Mashup podcast. The episode below is a VIX round table with Cboe Global Markets, discussing the various uses of volatility in 2020.


    Target Effortless Triple-Digit Gains Every Sunday Evening For Life!

    This is your chance to triple your profit potential on Sunday evenings, without spending all your free time watching the market.

    On Sundays, as a Weekend Plus subscriber, you’ll get up to 6 trades every Sunday, each targeting gains of 200% or more.

    Start targeting gains like the ones our subscribers have seen recently, including:

    213.3% GAIN on AutoNation calls
    100.0% GAIN on Monster Beverage calls
    100.4% GAIN on Walgreens Boots Alliance puts
    100.4% GAIN on ON Semiconductor calls
    257.7% GAIN on Dell calls

    101.0% GAIN on Apollo Global Management calls
    103.6% GAIN on JP Morgan  Chase calls
    105.3% GAIN on DraftKings calls
    101.3% GAIN on Airbnb calls
    203.0% GAIN on Shopify calls
    102.0% GAIN on Cboe Global Markets calls
    100.9% GAIN on Boeing calls
    102.1% GAIN on Microsoft puts
    102.3% GAIN on First Solar calls
    101.5% GAIN on PulteGroup calls
    101.0% GAIN on Apple calls
    209.4% GAIN on NXP Semiconductors calls
    100.8% GAIN on Uber Technologies calls
    100.4% GAIN on Academy Sports and Outdoors puts
    102.2% GAIN on Trade Desk calls
    100.8% GAIN on DoorDash calls
    100.0% GAIN on Camping World Holdings puts
    100.0% GAIN on Cboe Global Markets calls
    100.2% GAIN on calls
    238.5% GAIN on Oracle calls



    Rainmaker Ads CGI