Get on the path to fast options profits with our best rapid-turnaround trading advice
One of the major attractions of options trading is the ability to turn a
very healthy profit in a relatively brief period of time. Thanks to the
profit-magnifying power of leverage, well-timed call and put plays can
quickly yield triple-digit returns for the shrewd speculator. Of course, if
you dive into an options position unprepared, you might just as quickly
forfeit your upfront investment. To stack the odds in your favor with rapid-turnaround trades, simply follow
these 5 simple steps to short-term profits.
1.) Target stocks poised for a big move.
This may seem obvious -- but if you're attempting a short-term options
trade, you need to focus on a stock that has a history of making big moves
in a narrow time frame. This is the kind of information you can glean by
reviewing a stock's chart, and by looking up its historical volatility
(HV). Simply put, a high HV reading suggests that dramatic price swings are
business as usual.
There are also technical indicators you can reference to inform your
short-term trading decisions. For example, Bollinger Bands are a pair of
trendlines typically plotted two standard deviations away from a central
moving average (most frequently, the 20-day moving average). During periods
of heightened volatility, the upper and lower Bollinger Bands will move
away from each other. Then, during times of low volatility, the bands will
draw closer together. By singling out a historically volatile stock with
compressed Bollinger Bands, you may be able to pinpoint opportunities where
volatility is on the verge of exploding.
And, as always, be aware of upcoming corporate events. Product launches,
earnings reports, and other planned events all have the ability to prompt a
major move in the shares.
2.) Check the charts for key support and resistance levels.
When you're targeting major gains in a minor time period, it makes sense to
be aware of any and all levels of technical significance that could impact
your trade. Even though you're focused on the short term, go ahead and dial
back the charts to uncover any long-term technical foes that could exert an
immediate impact on the share price.
A thorough technical analysis along these lines might include a check of:
major trendlines and moving averages; round numbers; previous highs and
lows; double lows and half-highs; Fibonacci retracements of previous
directional moves; and "round-number returns" (i.e., gains and losses of
10%, 20%, and so forth) from recent highs and lows, as well as the stock's
year-to-date breakeven. Pay especially careful attention to any of these
levels that are located in between the stock's current price and your
projected target.
3.) Make sure there aren't major volatility expectations priced in
already.
No matter how abbreviated your trading time frame might be, it's an
essential rule of money management that you should avoid overpaying for
options. The price you pay to play is a key determining factor in your
risk/reward profile, and it also determines how much leverage you stand to
gain.
Implied volatility reflects the market's expectations for the underlying
stock during an option's lifespan, and it's one of the key variables that
impacts option premiums. So, if most traders expect Apple shares to make a
big move on the charts during the next month, AAPL's front-month option
prices will rise accordingly. This is why options with an expiration date
timed to coincide with a planned event -- such as an earnings report, or
the release of an updated iPhone model -- are often costlier than their
"anytime" counterparts.
But as the market's reaction to these types of known events is priced
directly into the shares, rather than the options, implied volatility will
collapse. And if the directional move in the stock doesn't live up to
expectations -- even if it's heading in the right direction -- options can
actually lose value.
4.) Select your option carefully.
When your trading time frame is measured in hours and days (instead of
weeks and months), it's important to calibrate your option selection very
deliberately. Your two primary considerations are time and strike price.
For short-term trading, it makes sense to buy as little time premium as you
require for the expected stock move to play out. If weekly options are
available, those might be the optimal choice -- and during standard options
expiration week, front-month options can easily serve the same purpose.
As you choose your strike price, consider your appetite for risk. An
in-the-money option may cost more, but also has a relatively higher
probability of retaining some intrinsic value at expiration. However, if
you feel confident in your prediction for a sizable swing in the share
price -- and you're not deterred by the prospect of a potential 100% loss
-- an at-the-money or out-of-the-money option typically carries a lower
upfront cost, which maximizes leverage on the trade.
5.) Determine your exit plan in advance.
Capturing a short-term stock move requires you to be nimble. Unfortunately,
if you fail to create a concrete exit plan in advance, you may find
yourself paralyzed by quick gains (or losses) in your options trade. How
long should you ride out the gains on a winner? Do you want to close out a
loser immediately, or wait to see if the stock pares its decline?
Of course, the answers to these questions will vary from one trader to the
next. But regardless of how healthy your risk appetite might be, determine
your target profit and stop-loss levels before you enter the
trade. You may wish to enter corresponding orders with your broker, or you
can simply use these numbers as guidelines after the trade is executed.
Once your option starts gaining or losing value, it's too easy -- and too
risky -- to start making emotional decisions based on greed or fear.