BUY, SELL, HOLD (2)

UnitedHealth Stock Rallying Ahead of Earnings

The shares have been on a tear higher since late February

Deputy Editor
Apr 16, 2025 at 2:06 PM
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UnitedHealth Group Inc (NYSE:UNH) will announce its first-quarter report before the open tomorrow, April 17. Ahead of the event, Wall Street anticipates earnings of $7.27 per share, a 5.2% increase from the same quarter a year ago, on revenue of $111.01 billion. 

UNH has been rallying since its late-February bear gap, hitting a nearly four-month high of $606.36 this past Friday. Year-to-date, the equity is up 16.8% despite broad-market pressures, and sits above all moving averages between the 20- and 320-day trendlines, including the 180-day, which kept gains in check in the beginning of the year.

UNH April16

UnitedHealth stock has a split history of earnings moves, closing higher after four of the last eight quarters. Over these past two years, UNH averaged a 5.6% next-day swing, regardless of direction, which is slightly higher than the 5% move the options pits are pricing in this time around. 

It's worth noting that all 22 analysts in coverage carry a "buy" or better rating already, so upgrades in the event of a positive post-earnings move are unlikely. 

 

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