Why Cloudflare Stock Looks Poised for a Bull Gap

NET already sports a more than 61% lead for 2023

Fernanda Horner

Digital Content Manager

Nov 20, 2023 at 3:13 PM

Cloudflare Inc (NYSE:NET) is today trading at its highest level since early August, last seen up 0.3% at $72.94 at last glance. The security also sports a 61.7% year-to-date lead, and is pacing for its sixth daily gain over the last seven. With help from historically bullish signal now flashing, the equity could have just what it needs to keep charging higher, too.

NET Inraday

Digging deeper, Cloudflare stock's latest peak comes amid historically low implied volatility (IV). This has been a bullish combination in the past, according to Schaeffer's Quantitative Analyst Rocky White. White's data points to three other signals in the past five years when NET was trading within 2% of its 52-week high, while its Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) sat in the 20th percentile of its annual range or lower.

This is currently the case with the stock's SVI of 45%, which stands in the 1st percentile of annual readings. The shares were higher one month later after each of those signals, averaging a 16.4% rise. From its current level, a move of similar magnitude would place NET above $48, or its highest level since February 2022.

A short squeeze could accelerate these gains. Short interest rose 4% in the most recent reporting period, and the 19.64 million shares sold short make up 6.7% of the security's available float. It would take shorts more than one week to cover their bearish bets, at NET's current pace of trading.

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