Why This Retail Stock's Fundamentals Are Worrisome

Year-over-year, CONN remains down about 60%

Jul 18, 2022 at 10:20 AM
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Conn's Inc (NASDAQ:CONN) is a specialty retailer of home goods, including furniture, appliances, and consumer electronics. CONN has more than 160 stores across 15 states and over 4,000 employees that help the business provide customers with access to products, next-day delivery, and personalized payment options, including a flexible, in-house credit program. Conn's announced on June 23 its expansion in New Mexico with the opening of a new retail location in Santa Fe. 

Conn’s stock price has decreased about 60% over the past 12 months, with the equity now trading 67% lower since reaching a 52-week high of $28 last September. What's more, CONN is off 61% year-to-date. However, Conn's stock is up 15% over the past month, and has recovered 20% since bottoming at a 52-week low of $7.79 in late June.

The retail stock’s decline has largely come as a result of Conn's poor fundamentals and 2023 expectations. CONN is estimated to see a 7.9% decrease in revenues and a huge 81.9% decline in earnings. In addition, Conn’s balance sheet is a massive liability for its longevity. The retailer currently owes $955.55 million in total debt, which is over triple the company’s market cap of $222.66 million. Conn’s also holds just $10.46 million in cash, which undoubtedly hurts its long-term growth and sustainability.

Nonetheless, CONN is expected to resume its growth in 2024, with estimates indicating 12.8% revenue and 177.6% earnings growth. This also makes Conn’s stock's forward price-earnings ratio of 14.86 and a price-sales ratio of 0.17 much more appealing, and potentially sets the stock up for a nice 2024 recovery. Still, CONN is far too great of a risk for fundamental-based investors.


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