Call Traders Pile on Dropbox Stock Ahead of Earnings

A short squeeze could fuel additional gains for DBX

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It's been a while since we checked in with cloud storage stock Dropbox, Inc. (NASDAQ:DBX). Ahead of the tech company's earnings report, set for after the close next Thursday, Nov. 4, options traders are flocking to the stock in droves.

Dropbox stock is up 37% in 2021, with chart support in place at its 200-day moving average, a trendline that caught an early-October pullback. Despite the stock's sizable year-to-date gains, 6.7% of DBX's total available float is sold short. At the stock's average pace of trading, it would take shorts six days to buy back their bearish bets.

DBX Chart

Looking at Dropbox's earnings history, six of its last eight corporate reports have resulted in downside post-earnings moves, including an 11% bear gap in August 2020. Overall, DBX averages a post-earnings move of 6%, regardless of direction, the last two years. This time around, the options market is pricing in a larger-than-usual move of 7.2% for next Wednesday's trading.

Looking at bottom lines, Dropbox has generated strong and consistent revenues growth over multiple years. DBX’s revenues are currently up 84% since fiscal 2017 and increased 15% between fiscal 2019 and fiscal 2020. In addition, Dropbox stock has a relatively attractive forward price-earnings ratio of 21.51, which signals a change from the previous years of unprofitability.

The tech company also has a fairly manageable balance sheet, with $1.94 billion in cash and $2.47 billion in total debt. Overall, Dropbox stock continues to have strong long-term growth potential, despite its bullish run over the past year.

In the options pits, Dropbox stock looks to be a favorite of call traders. This is per the chip name's 10-day call/put volume ratio at the 17.85 International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), which ranks four percentage points from an annual high.

 

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