Dine Brands Stock is Red-Hot Heading into Earnings

DIN has nearly tripled in value year-over-year

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Dine Brands Global, Inc. (NYSE:DIN) is one of the largest full-service restaurant companies in the world and the franchisor of Applebee's and the esteemed International House of Pancakes. Tomorrow before the open, Dine Brands steps into the earnings confessional for its first-quarter report. Ahead of the event, we're going to take a closer look at the stock's torrid start to 2021.

In 2020, Dine Brands outperformed earnings expectations three of four times. For the first quarter of 2020, DIN beat analyst estimates by a margin of $0.04 and reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.45. For the second quarter of 2020, Dine Brands reported a loss of -$0.87 but still managed to beat expectations by a margin of $0.06. For the third quarter of 2020, DIN reported $0.80 per share and beat estimates by $0.43. For the most recent quarter, Dine Brands reported an EPS of $0.39, but missed expectations. Analysts expect the company to report an EPS of $0.86 for the first quarter of 2021.

On the charts, DIN has essentially taken an escalator since its March 2021 bottom near $14. The shares scored an annual high of $98.75 on April 30, and have not breached their ascending 30-day moving average on a closing basis since early January. 

From a fundamental view, the company’s dining business was essentially destroyed by the pandemic. In 2020, Dine Brands' revenues dropped about 25% and they lost $208 million in net income, taking total net losses to $104 million. However, investors have reason to be confident that the company will bounce back going off its growth rate in recent history. Between 2017 and 2019, Dine Brands grew revenues by roughly 50% and added $434 million to its net income at the time. If the company can replicate that level of growth, DIN could still be a strong turnaround play despite having already climbed so much in the past 12 months.

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