Agriculture Stock Tends to Make Big Post-Earnings Moves

The security has added over 96% in the past nine months

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The shares of agribusiness concern Andersons, Inc. (NASDAQ:ANDE) are down 1.5% at $28.42 this afternoon. The security has cooled off from its March 12, two-year high of $30.83, though it is still up 96.3% over the past nine months. Today's dip comes roughly a week prior to the equity's first-quarter earnings report, which is due out after the close on Tuesday, May 4. Below, we will take a closer look at the stock's performance, and explore some of its previous post-earnings activity.  

On the charts, Andersons stock has been trading mostly sideways since its March peak. The security regained support from the 60-day moving average in early November, while the $27 level has recently acted as a floor for the shares. Meanwhile, the equity has been unable to overcome overhead pressure at the $29.50 mark in recent weeks.

Andersons stock has had a mixed history of post-earnings reactions over the past two years. In fact, four of these next-day sessions were lower during its past eight reports, while four were higher, including a 16.9% drop in November 2020. The security has averaged a post-earnings swing of 9.5% in the last eight quarters, regardless of direction. This time, the options market is pricing in a bigger move of 11.7%.

Also worth noting is that the company has been able to increase its revenue in a major way over the past few years, but has yet to capitalize on the bottom-line. Since 2018, Andersons has grown revenue by 170%, despite registering minimal growth in 2020. However, the company announced just $7.71 million in net profits in its latest annual report.

Overall, with a cash balance of just $29.29 million, and $1.48 billion in debt, the company won’t have many resources to continue expanding its business, at least in 2021. As a result, ANDE will have to focus on turning big revenue into profits, starting with this quarter’s earnings. 


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