Don Fishback on Options Valuation and Probability [PODCAST]

Don breaks down how probability determines risk and reward

Managing Editor
Mar 12, 2021 at 3:18 PM
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On the latest Market Mashup, Patrick is back with author, analyst, and options trader extraordinaire Don Fishback to discuss his work on options valuation and probability over the years. Don shares how contrarianism fueled his probability models (8:53), how they can apply to current events like the Reddit craze (15:50), and their role in options valuation (24:02).

And between all of those gems, there are stories about founder and CEO Bernie Schaeffer, some horse-racing talk, and much more!

As you listen, be sure to follow along on Don's slidedeck, which outlines his probability models and visualizes everything discussed. As a quick note, these slides are provided by Mr. Fishback to support this incredibly insightful podcast and, in no way, represent the views held by Schaeffer's Investment Research unless otherwise indicated. 

Bernie and Don 1992

Pictured above, front to back, Don Fishback with Founder and CEO Bernie Schaeffer. A gem of the 1990s.

While we have you entranced by that photo, here's a quick rundown of some of our most popular episodes through our partnership with Cboe Global Markets:

Schaeffer's Market Mashup sat down with two Cboe Global Markets experts. Patrick is joined by Cboe’s Rick Rosenthal and Arin Risk Advisors’ Joe DeSipio to talk all things RUT and small-caps. They dive into small-cap's ascension and relation to economic expansion (6:00), its role in inflationary measures (10:05), and options strategies/products to employ in the small-cap market (19:38).

Schaeffer's Market Mashup features a VIX roundtable (part 2).
 Patrick is joined by finance author, trader and avid New York sports fan Adam Warner. They chop it up over the VIX/VXX's recent movement (9:05), the role of social media in retail investing (18:45), and whether a market correction is upon us (21:50). And in between, plenty of Julius Randle, Lenny Dykstra, and Mets talk! 


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