7-Year Highs Just Within Barrick Gold Stock's Reach

The equity sports a 76.7% year-to-date lead

Deputy Editor
Sep 10, 2020 at 10:34 AM
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Earlier this week, we covered Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM), highlighting an intriguing buying opportunity for options bulls. Today, we'll be shifting our attention to another mining sector-member with an interesting technical setup on the charts, Barrick Gold Corp (NYSE:GOLD). The stock has enjoyed an impressive run higher, grabbing a seven-year high of $31.22 on Aug. 18. While the equity has spent most of its time since then consolidating just beneath the $30 mark, the stock broke north of that level yesterday, even if it is down 0.3% at $30.37 at last check. 

What's more, GOLD just pulled back to its 40-day moving average, which has proved bullish for the security in the past. In fact, according to a study from Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, five similar signals have flashed for GOLD in the past three years. After 75% of these signals, Barrick Gold stock was higher, averaging a jump of 6.6%. With the security already within a chip-shot of its August high, a similar move would put GOLD well above this landmark, near the $33 level. 

GOLD Chart Sept 10

Barrick Gold could benefit from a round of analyst upgrades too, considering its impressive 76.7% year-to-date lead. Four analysts still say "hold," compared to nine calling it a "buy" or better. Plus, the 12-month consensus price target of $32.63 is a slim 6.7% premium to current levels. 

Similarly to Wheaton Precious Metals, Barrick Gold options can be had at a relative bargain right now. The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 46% stands higher than just 24% of readings from the past year. This suggests option traders are pricing in lower-than-normal volatility expectations at the moment. 

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