Pharma Stock's Bull Signal Has Never Been Wrong

Options players have already been incredibly bullish on IONS

Digital Content Manager
Jan 23, 2020 at 12:37 PM
facebook twitter linkedin

Biotech concern Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ:IONS) is cooling off, along with the broader market, just one day after the well-received release of its mid-stage study for AKCEA-APOCII-LRx in patients with cardiovascular disease sent the stock soaring, before running out of steam at familiar resistance near its 180-day moving average. While the stock is off 1% to trade at $60.56, it just pulled back to a long-term trendline that, if history is any indicator, could give IONS a big boost.

The trendline in question is IONS' 20-month moving average, with three similar signals occurring during the past 15 years, according to data from Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White. Four weeks after each signal, Ionis averaged a 13.27% return. From its current perch, a similar move would put the equity at $68.60, which is well atop the aforementioned 180-day moving average, and represents a region IONS hasn't touched since late-August. 

IONS Chart Jan 23

Drilling down, the options pits have been swarming with bulls lately, as seen at the the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), where 6.46 calls have been bought for every put during the past 10 days. What's more, this ratio sits in the 72nd percentile of its annual range, suggesting calls have been unusually popular.

For those looking to jump on this bullish bandwagon, options are incredibly cheap right now. In fact, the equity's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 37% is lower than all but 9% of all other readings from the past year. This means options are pricing in extremely low volatility expectations right now. 




These investors are using the market's volatility to their advantage and scoring triple-digit gains on many of their trades.

Even in today's sideways bear market, this trading strategy has continued to provide consistency and profitability to a small group of investors. By using this approach, these traders are removing directional risk and still hitting triple-digit returns. If you want access to this strategy, and lower risk with higher returns sounds good to you, then don't wait another minute.

Join us now to receive our next trades the moment they come out!


Common mistakes options traders make


Special Offers from Schaeffer's Trading Partners