BUY, SELL, HOLD (2)

Mattel China Partnership Provokes Bullish Options Traders

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) stock has struggled over the long term, but options traders have been targeting calls

Feb 17, 2017 at 12:10 PM
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Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) is up on news that it's formed a strategic partnership with Babytree, a China-based parenting website. With the shares 1.1% higher at $25.96, options traders have placed bullish short-term bets on the shares -- with 37,000 calls already on the tape, 21 times the usual intraday amount, and a new annual high.

Drilling down, the out-of-the-money March 30 call is, by far, the most popular strike. According to Trade-Alert, this is being driven by one options trader who bought to open 15,000 contracts earlier for about $375,000 ($0.25 premium paid * number of contracts * 100 shares per contract). For these calls to land in the money by March expiration, MAT shares will need to close their late-January bear gap, triggered by a poor earnings report.

On the one hand, the stock could have trouble muscling atop the $30 level, given potential round-number resistance. Not to mention, MAT's 200-day moving average -- which has contained breakout attempts since November -- is descending into that neighborhood, potentially reinforcing the speed bump.

On the other hand, the shares could get a boost on another round of takeover chatter. Unsubstantiated M&A rumors cropped up on Wednesday, sending MAT higher. Plus, with the company aggressively courting Chinese consumers, sales and earnings growth could get a much-needed jolt in upcoming quarters -- also potentially translating into stock gains.

Long term, MAT has struggled mightily. Despite sharp advances in the broader market, the toy stock has surrendered 17.5% of its value on a year-over-year basis. Plus, the shares aren't far from their annual low at $25.17, touched earlier this month.

Yet, as the aforementioned call buyer demonstrates, options traders have been keeping the faith. The stock's 10-day International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) call/put volume ratio is a top-heavy 4.14 -- outstripping four-fifths of readings from the last year. Echoing this, short-term options traders are very call-focused, per Mattel, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MAT) Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 0.37, registering in the low 9th percentile of its annual range.

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