Rivian Earnings Preview: Big Move Already Priced In

RIVN has a disappointing post-earnings history

Liliana Orozco

Assistant Editor

Jul 29, 2026 at 1:49 PM

RIVN

Rivian Automotive Inc (NASDAQ:RIVN) is scheduled to report second-quarter earnings on Thursday, July 30, after the market close. Analysts at Zacks Research are anticipating losses of 65 cents per share on $1.58 billion in revenue.

The electric vehicle (EV) maker has closed only three of its last eight next-day sessions higher, including a surge of 26.6% in February. Options traders are bracing for a sizeable post-earnings swing of 12.9%, regardless of direction, compared to the average 6.2% shift over the past eight quarters.

The shares have added 24% year-over-year and are testing support at the 120-day moving average, which has helped contain losses this month.

Meanwhile, the 140.54 million shares sold short account for 14.59% of RIVN's available float, and it would take short sellers four days to buy back their bets at the stock's average pace of trading.

It's also worth noting that Rivian's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) comes in at 16 out of 100. In other words, the stock has consistently realized lower volatility than its options have priced in over the past 12 months, making it a premium-selling candidate.

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