EWW, EPI Flashing Bullish Seasonality Signals

Options traders have been targeting EWW and EPI calls over puts

by Alex Eppstein

Published on Mar 1, 2017 at 11:03 AM

Amid the "Frexit" hype, a number of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have come into focus. But eurozone ETFs are hardly the only funds on our radar. In fact, two names worth looking at as we get into March are the iShares MSCI Mexico Capped ETF (EWW) and the WisdomTree India Earnings Fund (EPI), both of which could benefit from bullish seasonal trends. Not to mention, shares of both EWW and EPI are hovering near key Fibonacci retracement levels.

EWW Seasonality Bodes Well For Option Bulls

Since its inception, EWW has averaged an impressive March gain of 4.8%. This is promising for the shares, which recently took a strong bounce off the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of their 2009-13 rally. The ETF has started off March on the right foot, too, up 1.2% at $46.62.

eww mexico etf fibonacci retracement

Perhaps this encouraging setup explains why options traders have been quick to place bullish bets on the ETF. EWW's 50-day call/put volume ratio of 2.31 at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) ranks just 5 percentage points from an annual high.

EPI Tags Annual High, Key Retracement Level

EPI, meanwhile, has been on a hot streak since springing off the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of its 2010-13 swoon. At last check, the ETF was up 0.8% at $22.85, and fresh off an annual high of $22.86. Now, the shares are flirting with the 61.8% retracement of the aforementioned range, and history suggests they could easily take out that potential speed bump. Specifically, the ETF has generally flourished in March and April, averaging gains of 4.4% and 3%, respectively, since inception.

epi stock india etf with fibonacci retracement

Not surprisingly, options traders have been buying to open EPI calls over puts at a rapid-fire rate, albeit amid relatively low absolute volume. Specifically, the ETF's 10-day ISE/CBOE/PHLX call/put volume ratio of 10.19 ranks in the high 90th annual percentile. At the same time, skeptics have been hitting the exits, as short interest was nearly halved in the last two reporting periods.

Having said all that, EPI could still be in for a near-term breather. Amid the aggressive run higher, the ETF's 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has crept into overbought territory, last seen at 71.2.

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