Schaeffer's Options Center

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At-the-Money Put Players Crowd Aluminum Corp. of China Limited (ACH)
Author
Andrea Kramer (akramer@sir-inc.com)

11/3/2009 10:40:58 AM

Put traders centered on Aluminum Corp. of China Limited (ACH: sentiment, chart, options) – often referred to as "Chalco" – on Monday, with single-session volume more than tripling the norm. More specifically, the overseas commodities concern saw almost 3,000 puts cross the tape, compared to its average daily volume of fewer than 900 contracts.

Most popular was the stock's at-the-money December 27 put, which saw roughly 2,100 contracts change hands. Put open interest at the December 27 strike jumped from fewer than 350 contracts to almost 1,700 contracts overnight, suggesting that a healthy portion of yesterday's volume consisted of new positions. What's more, 43% of the puts traded at the ask price, implying they were bought.

The recent surge in buy-to-open put volume is further reflected in the latest data from the International Securities Exchange (ISE). During the past two weeks, speculators on the ISE have purchased to open almost twice as many ACH puts as calls. In fact, the equity's 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.76 stands only three percentage points shy of an annual pessimistic peak.

Confirming the skepticism among option players is the security's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.28, in the 98th annual percentile. In other words, near-term option traders have been more bearishly biased toward ACH only 2% of the time during the past year.

At last check, ACH has surrendered 1.9% to linger in the $27 region. Since August, the stock has remained trapped between its 50-month and 60-month trendlines, underperforming the S&P 500 Index (SPX) by 16% during the past 60 sessions.

 
Commentary by WhatsTrading.com
 
Cell Therapeutics Inc (CTIC) $0.76 +18.84%
2/9/2010 10:00:03 AM

Cell Therapeutics (CTIC) continues to see heavy trading. After losing 42 cents to 64 cents per share yesterday, shares have added 10 this morning, to 74 cents, ahead of tomorrow's FDA panel related to the company's cancer drug Pixantrone. Meanwhile, CTIC Feb 1 put is the most actively traded options contract early Tuesday, with more than 42K on the tape if the first 15 min. Some investors might be liquidating positions after the plunge in the share price yesterday. The top trade is 10K on the bid at 30 cents. Open interest is 81.7K.

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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Dell Inc (DELL) $13.46 +1.70%
2/8/2010 4:00:04 PM

Dell Computer is seeing relative strrength and calls are active for a second day. Open interest in DELL calls increased by 28000 (compared to -1126 puts) following a day of active trading Friday. Today, another 49K calls and 12K puts traded. Shares are up 23 cents to $13.47 and the top trade is a block of 2212 Feb 13 calls at 70 cents this morning on ISE, which is an opening buyer, according to ISEE data. 11k traded total. Another 16.2K Feb 14 calls also changed hands. The two days of increasing call volumes comes ahead of Dell's Feb 18 earnings release, which is one day before the Feb contracts come off the board.

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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Electronic Arts Inc (ERTS) $17.66 +2.32%
2/8/2010 2:20:05 PM

Options action is heating up in Electronic Arts (ERTS) ahead of earnings. There seems to be some optimism building. Shares are up 41 cents to $17.67 and call volume is outpacing put activity by almost three-to-one. More than 12K calls and 4790 puts changed hands so far. Feb 19 calls are the most actives and zero percent of today's 7000+ contracts are on the bid (33% Mid / 66% Ask). Implied volatility is up about 7 percent to 52 and a skew between Feb (52.6 percent) and Mar (43 percent) hints at a possible earnings gap move of about $1.06, or 6 percent, when ERTS reports after the closing bell.

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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Calpine Corporation (CPN) $11.05 +1.01%
2/8/2010 1:20:05 PM

Calpine shares are up 10c to $11.05 and option volume is 3x the daily average being driven by block trade in LEAPs as the $12.50 calls Jan 2011 trade 5,000 contracts were bought for $1.10 and then in then 3,000 contracts (now total of 5,000) of the $12.50 calls with the 2012 expiry traded at $1.90 a contract. Both appear to be opening; checking as to whether this was spread sale.

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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CIT Group Inc (CIT) $31.86 +3.61%
2/8/2010 12:20:03 PM

CIT Group (CIT) is seeing relative strength and increasing options action (3X avg daily) on news it has hired John Thain as CEO. In his 30-year career, Thain has risen to top executive positions at Merrill, Goldman, and the NYSE. Shares are up $1.02 to $31.79 on the news and July 32 calls are being sold as part of buy-write trades. For example, a block of 3800 contracts near the bid, at $4.85, coincided with a block of 380K CIT shares at $32.05. 12.3K July 32 calls nows traded vs. 23 contracts in open interest.\n
\nSo, in this example, a buy-write or covered call is created by selling 1 July 32 callsat $4.80 against 100 shares at $32.00. Doing so reduces the cost basis of owning shares to $27.20, which becomes the breakeven through the July expiration (or 158 days), excluding commissions. The upside is also limited by the strike price of the call, or $32. If shares are trading for $32 or more at expiration (or possibly before), the calls will be assigned at $32 and the investor will sell the shares at that price. The result is 17.65 percent profit. Importantly, the trade can be closed at any time prior to expiration and, if the calls are not assigned at or before expiration, the strategist can sell calls in a more distant expiration month or close the position by selling the shares at the prevailing market price.

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First Solar Inc (FSLR) $111.97 -1.94%
2/8/2010 11:20:04 AM

First Solar shares $3.40 to $110.80 notable transaction looks to be a three way trade in which the initially sold 1,650 March $105/$80 puts spreads traded on CBOE (now 2,300) followed by the purchase of 1,500 of the March $140 calls on PHLX. All could be closing as open interest is sufficient to cover. Shares have declined some 20% in the past month an are at minor support at the $110 level.

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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Daily Rundown, February 8
2/8/2010 10:20:03 AM

Stocks are indicated modestly higher on a relatively slow news day Monday. Thirty minutes before the opening bell on Wall Street, stock index futures hint at modest early gains for both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ.\n
\nTrading is mixed overseas before the opening bell on Wall Street. While Japans Nikkei lost 1.1 percent and Hong Kongs Hang Seng slipped .6 percent, a .7 percent gain in Germanys DAX is pacing a modest advance across Europe.\n
\nIn the US, the economic calendar is light this week until jobless claims and retail sales numbers Thursday.\n
\nWith little to guide the early action, bonds are lifeless in quiet trading Monday morning. The benchmark ten-year Treasury is down 2/32nd and now yields 3.57 percent.\n
\nThe dollar edged down .11 to 89.39 against the Japanese yen. The euro gained .0006 to 1.3670 an ounce.\n
\nCrude oil is flat near $71.25 a barrel, but gold jumped $14 to $1067 an ounce. \n
\nAmong the stocks to watch, Hasbro (HAS) and CVS are trading up on earnings news. Some of the fertilizer names, including Potash (POT) and Mosaic (MOS), are seeing early strength. Motorola (MOT) is trading up after being mentioned positively in Barrons. Home Depot (HD) might help the Dow early after Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to Overweight.\n
\nNote: we had a little Internet issue this morning, which has been resolved. Sorry for any inconvenience this caused.

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Unusual Activity Roundup, Feb 5
2/5/2010 4:20:03 PM

Some less actively traded names seeing bullish order flow: Wonder Auto Tech (WATG), Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), China Surveillance (CSR) Bearish order flow: Healthnet (HNT), Air Corp. (AAR), iShares Germany (EWG). Post Earnings: Aetna (AET) Pre-Earnings: CVS Ex-Div: American Electric Power (AEP), Exxon Mobile (XOM), Olin (OLN)

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Airgas Inc (ARG) $60.11 +38.09%
2/5/2010 2:20:03 PM

Airgas call volume and total open interest spiked this week to multi-year highs, directly ahead of the deal that caused shares to gap nearly 40% higher to the $60 level this morning, suggesting traders may have reason to accumulate upside exposure before today's announcement. Call volume over the preceding four days exceded 8200 ccontracts, the busiest period in two years, including more than 2000 of the April 55 calls, most of which were bought yesterday for 10cents to open a new position when shares were below $44.00. Total call open interest grew from 3600 to 8600 contracts over the week. In contrast to the customer account type used to frontrun the Perot deal last year, yesterday's clearing data shows most of the buying was categorized as Firm account for clearing purposes.\n
\n\nARG Options Action Ahead of Announcement (click for larger)

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Smithfield Foods (SFD) $15.21 +1.67%
2/5/2010 12:00:08 PM

SmithFields (SFD) is up 21 cents to $15.17 on the heels of Tyson's strong results -- see 9:53 color. In the options market, one player bought to open 5060 July 17.5 calls at 90 cents on ISE, according to ISEE data. More than 7,000 now traded vs. 462 in open interest. SFD is due to report around Mar 11.

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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