Dominating headlines this morning is Illinois Senator Barack Obama's historic victory for the Oval Office. On January 20, the Democrat will become the first African-American President of the United States of America. The candidate's triumph was seemingly clenched after he took key battleground states such as Pennsylvania and Ohio early in the evening, followed by a win in Virginia – a state that has historically turned red since 1964. "The road ahead will be long," Obama opined in a victory speech in Chicago. "Our climb will be steep. We may not get there in one year or even one term, but America... we as a people will get there."
However, the deteriorating economy facing the President-elect hasn't gone unnoticed by Wall Street, with futures turning lower ahead of the bell. Analysts at UBS predicted those most likely to be hurt by Obama's conquest are pharmaceuticals – already declining across the pond – and managed-care firms, as well as upscale consumer retailers, coal-related issues, domestic energy services companies, integrated oil stocks, and Bermuda-based insurers.
Turning to equities in focus, Time Warner (TWX: sentiment, chart, options) this morning reported a stronger-than-expected third-quarter profit (excluding items) of 31 cents per share, beating the Street's estimate of 27 cents per share. Revenue, however, docked at $11.7 billion, compared to analysts' predictions for $11.86 billion in sales. The media mogul lowered its full-year operating profit outlook due to severance charges at its Time Inc. publishing unit and restructuring charges at New Line Cinema. The company also projected full-year adjusted operating income before depreciation and amortization to grow around 5%, down from its prior outlook of 7% to 9% growth.
Elsewhere, bond insurer Ambac Financial (ABK: sentiment, chart, options) said its third-quarter loss widened to $2.43 billion, or $8.45 per share, from a $360.6-million, or $3.53-per-share, loss a year earlier. The company blamed the widening deficit on credit derivatives, increased losses related to second-lien residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) insurance transactions, and market losses on RMBS within the financial services investment portfolio. ABK announced its operating loss was $7.81 per share, compared to the 74-cents-per-share loss the Street had forecast.
Finally, Ambac's sector peer MBIA, Inc. (MBI: sentiment, chart, options) also disappointed investors this morning. The company reported a widened third-quarter loss of $806.5 million, or $3.48 per share, from a loss of $36.6 million, or 30 cents per share, a year ago. The company blamed the dismal results on its second-lien residential mortgage exposures, and net-realized and unrealized losses attributable to its Asset Liability Management business. After-tax operating loss for the third quarter docked at $514.8 million, or $2.22 per share, compared with after-tax operating income of $192.6 million, or $1.56 per share, in the same period of 2007. Analysts, on average, expected a loss of 81 cents per share.
Checking in on currencies and commodities, the U.S. Dollar Index has shed 0.09% to trade at 84.72, as the greenback loses ground against most of its foreign rivals. Meanwhile, December-dated gold has continued its journey higher, adding on $3.70, or 0.5%, to flirt with the $761-an-ounce level. Finally, after toppling $70 per barrel yesterday, the front-month crude contract has pared some of its gains, trading at $68.90.
Earnings Preview
Also on the earnings front today, Duke Energy (DUK), General Motors (GM), Activision Blizzard (ATVI), and Whole Foods (WFMI) are slated to release their quarterly figures. Keep your browser at SchaeffersResearch.com throughout the day for more.
Economic Calendar
The economic calendar offers up a peak at October's nonfarm payroll report with the release of the ADP employment report for October, while the Institute for Supply Management's services index for October is also slated for release. Thursday offers up weekly initial jobless claims and the preliminary third-quarter productivity report. And Friday ends the week with a bang, as the Street will be graced with October's hourly earnings, nonfarm payrolls, and unemployment rate, as well as September's pending home sales, wholesale inventories, and consumer credit.
Market Statistics
Equity option activity on the CBOE saw 1,454,047 call contracts traded on Tuesday, compared to 1,035,673 put contracts. The resultant single-session put/call ratio slipped to 0.71, while the 21-day moving average held at 0.82.
**The volume data shown above is from the Nasdaq and NYSE exchanges only. It does not include regional volume activity, which means that other daily volume quotes you see may be higher.**
Overseas Trading
Overseas trading is mixed this morning, with 5 of the 11 foreign indices that we track in positive territory. The cumulative average return on the collective stands at a gain of 0.46%. In Asian trading, investors are cheering Barack Obama's successful presidential victory, with exporters such as Toyota Motor (TM) leading the advancing issues. Meanwhile, energy-related stocks such as BHP Billiton (BHP) were mounting higher after crude oil finished yesterday above the $70-per-barrel level.
Across the pond in Europe, the market picture wasn't as pretty, with drugmakers declining in the wake of Obama's win. Some economists note negative implications for the U.S. pharmaceutical sector, should the President-elect follow Senator Hillary Clinton's plan to slash the prices of drugs domestically. Also weighing on the region was another bout of dismal earnings data, with steel sultan ArcelorMittal (MT), Danish brewer Calrsberg, and financial firm Allied Irish Banks all slashing their respective profit predictions.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DX/Y) plunged 2.1% to 85.21 on Tuesday, as the greenback declined against a majority of its leading foreign competitors. However, the dollar was able to garner some ground against the Japanese yen. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar logged some of the largest gains on the session, even after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut its cash rate by 0.75 percentage point. The RBA cut to 5.25%, exceeding expectations for a half-point cut. Against this backdrop, the euro rose to $1.30, while the dollar rose to 99.62 yen.
The futures contract on the 30-year bond (US/1 – 115'11) added 1-26/32 on Tuesday, as Treasurys posted board gains, sending yields sharply lower. Helping to boost bonds on the session was a report showed factory orders dropped 2.5% in September. Economists were expecting orders to decline 0.2%. The upside in the fixed-income market was limited, however, as traders piled back into the equities markets as risk aversion faded.
Commodity Corner
Gold futures enjoyed a boost on the heels of a falling U.S. dollar. Additionally, some analysts speculate that the safe-haven metal is rebounding from an oversold condition. By the close, December-dated gold added $30.50, or 4.2%, to finish Tuesday at $757.30 an ounce.
A weak U.S. dollar was also a boon for crude-oil prices. Specifically, the December contract cruised to a gain of 10.4%, or $6.62, to finish the day at $70.53 per barrel. Happily for consumers, though, gasoline prices continue to decline across the country. According to the AAA Daily Fuel Gauge Report, the average cost for a gallon of regular gas dropped to $2.391 yesterday, down more than 20% from a year ago.
Unusual Put and Call Activity:
For an explanation of how to use this information, check out our Education Center topics on Option Volume and Open Interest Configurations.
To read more of our analysis on the market's biggest stories, please visit our Schaeffer's Daily Market Blog section throughout the trading day.
Biocorrosion holohedral mnemonics flubdub index decern microresistor preparedness.
Problems catafalque vernacular heterostatic vesiculectomy roedeer usu.
Discuss this article:
"Clenches? I don't think you mean that." Respond
Post your own comment
More articles:
The technology sector is in trouble this morning, as traders have reacted negatively to Dell Inc.'s (DELL) third-quarter earnings report. The company said that profit plunged 57%, and it missed Wall Street's expectations by 5 cents per share. What's more, Dell's miss arrives on the heels of Bank of America's downgrade of several semiconductor stocks on Thursday. As a result, U.S. stock futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) have plummeted 80 points to 10,247, or about 63 points below fair value. read more...
The bull rally is apparently beginning to wane on Wall Street, and traders appear ready to take some profits off the table. Heading into the open, U.S. stock futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) are down 67 points at 10,337, or about 65 points below fair value. Among equities, the technology sector could come under fire, as Bank of America Merrill Lynch downgraded eight microchip companies, including Intel Corp. (INTC) and Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN), citing concerns that inventories are too high unless there's a sharp upturn from the global economy. Meanwhile, initial jobless claims and October's leading economic indicators are on tap in the economic calendar. read more...
Wall Street appears to be headed for a relatively flat open this morning, as U.S. stock futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) are up 19 points at 10,417, or about eight points above fair value. After pushing the Dow and the S&P 500 Index (SPX) to their best closes since October of last year, traders are once again taking it easy. All of that could change later this morning, however, as key reports on housing starts, consumer inflation, and weekly U.S. petroleum supplies are scheduled for release. Investors should also keep an eye on salesforce.com inc. (CRM), BJ's Wholesale Club Inc. (BJ), and Autodesk Inc. (ADSK), as all three have released their quarterly earnings statements. read more...
After posting gains in nine of the past 11 sessions, Wall Street appears ready for a bit of a rest today. In fact, U.S. stock futures are pointed lower, with futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) down 25 points at 10,343, or about 35 points below fair value. On the economic front, housing data and inflation will come to the forefront, as traders will need to digest October's producer price index (PPI) and the National Association of Home Builders' housing market index for November. Speaking of housing, Home Depot (HD) noted that it has seen "positive signs of stabilization" in the sector. HD's comments follow on the heels of similar housing-sector sentiment from competitor Lowe's Companies (LOW) yesterday. read more...
Wall Street bulls are off to the races as we kick off this expiration week. Bolstered by stronger-than-expected growth out of Japan's economy and merger-and-acquisition activity, traders have pressured U.S. stock futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) higher by 62 points at 10,304, placing the contract about 66 points above fair value. Several key U.S. economic reports are on tap, with October's retail sales and the November Empire State manufacturing index arriving. Elsewhere, Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) lifted its offer for Tandberg to $3.4 billion, while reports are suggesting that JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is nearing a deal to buy Britain's Cazenove. read more...
While Wall Street received a brief respite from the recent data deluge earlier in the week, traders will have to deal with a flood of reports heading into the weekend. Import/export prices, the trade balance, and the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index join the continued march of corporate earnings today. Speaking of earnings, a strong outlook from The Walt Disney Co. (DIS) has helped push futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) higher by 11 points at 10,200, placing futures about 35 points above fair value. Elsewhere, the U.S. Dollar Index is headed lower heading into the open, shedding 0.30% to trade at 75.37 in pre-market activity. According to analysts, currency traders will be keeping a close eye on the trade balance, which is seen widening to $32 billion. Meanwhile, the December gold futures contract has added $2.40 to $1,109 an ounce. Finally, crude oil for January delivery is up 40 cents at $78.05 per barrel in electronic trading. After the close last night, the Mouse's House reported that that fiscal-quarter profit rose 18% to $895 million, or 47 cents per share, from earnings of $760 million, or 40 cents per share, last year. Excluding an item, The Walt Disney Co. (DIS) said it would've earned 46 cents per share. Revenue rose 4% to $9.87 billion from $9.44 billion. Analysts were expecting earnings of 41 cents per share on sales of $9.31 billion. Disney cited improved results at cable network ESPN and syndication sales of "Grey's Anatomy" and "Desperate Housewives" for the better-than-expected results. read more...
Wall Street could be in for a bit of consolidation in today's trading, as U.S. stock futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) are down 29 points at 10,190, or about 26 points below fair value. The potential for a negative start to the day should come as no surprise, as traders take time out to digest yesterday's 2% rally that pushed the DJIA to its highest level since Oct. 6, 2008. Meanwhile, there are a handful of companies already bucking the potential doldrums of today's session, as Beazer Homes USA Inc. (BZH) has jumped more than 9% in pre-market trading after the company said it swung to a fourth-quarter profit from last year's loss. Other companies joining the earnings parade heading into the open include Tyco International Ltd. (TYC) and Electronic Arts Inc. (ERTS). In currencies and commodities, the U.S. Dollar Index is trading flat again this morning, adding about 0.09% at 75.08 in pre-market activity. Meanwhile, the December gold futures contract is down $2.50 at $1,098.70 an ounce. Finally, crude oil for December delivery is off 10 cents at $79.33 per barrel in electronic trading. Beazer Homes USA Inc. (BZH) reported that it swung to a fourth-quarter profit of $33.8 million, or 84 cents per share, from a loss of $473.9 million, or $12.29 per share, last year. Revenue dropped to $376.3 million from $649.8 million. Inventory impairments and option contract abandonments losses narrowed to $29.9 million, from $50.9 million last year, and the firm also recorded an $89.3 million gain on early extinguishment of debt. "During the quarter, we experienced some moderation in negative market trends," the firm said. read more...
Even though the Federal Reserve concluded last week that the weak U.S. economy still requires the currently massive amount of stimulus, Wall Street appears to have once again come to terms with the policies that have helped push the market more than 60% off its March lows. Heading into the open, U.S. stock futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) have soared some 85 points to trade at 10,063, or about 80 points above fair value. Traders may be left to their own devices for much of the week, as the economic calendar is devoid of reports until about Thursday. Meanwhile, corporate earnings continue to flow, with Freddie Mac (FRE), Dish Network Corp. (DISH), and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK) releasing their quarterly reports. In currencies and commodities, the U.S. Dollar Index is trading sharply lower, shedding 0.96% to trade at 75.08 in pre-market activity. Meanwhile, the December gold futures contract is up $12.70 at $1,108.40 an ounce. Finally, crude oil for December delivery is up $1.05 at $78.49 per barrel in electronic trading. In earnings news, Freddie Mac (FRE) reported that its third-quarter net loss narrowed to $5.01 billion from a loss of $25.3 billion in the same quarter a year earlier. After payment of a $1.3 billion dividend on its senior preferred stock to the Treasury Department, the company's net loss attributable to common stockholders was $6.3 billion, or $1.94 per share. Revenue totaled $3.38 billion. "We believe that factors like high unemployment, excess inventory and rising foreclosures will continue to impede a full recovery for some time and put further downward pressure on house prices. We expect to request additional funds from Treasury as this prolonged deterioration of market conditions continues to negatively impact our financial results," Chief Executive Charles Haldeman said in a statement. read more...
The bulls are holding their breath this morning, as Wall Street awaits the release of October's nonfarm payrolls report and the unemployment rate. U.S. stock futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average are up 7 points at 9,970, or about 2 points above fair value. Analysts are forecasting a loss of 150,000 jobs in October, the 22nd such decline in employment, but better than September's drop of 263,000. Furthermore, October's unemployment rate is seen rising to 9.9% from 9.8% in September, with some economists predicting a jump to 10% or even 10.1%. In currencies and commodities, the U.S. Dollar Index is trading basically flat, having fallen a mere 0.03% to hover near 75.72 in pre-market activity. Meanwhile, the December gold futures contract has posted a slight gain, adding $4.00 to trade at $1,093.30 an ounce. Finally, crude oil for December delivery is off 5 cents at $79.60 per barrel in electronic trading. In earnings news, American International Group Inc. (AIG) said that it swung to a third-quarter profit of $455 million, or 68 cents per share, from a loss of $24.5 billion, $181.02 per share, in the year-ago period. On an adjusted basis, net income was $1.9 billion, compared with an adjusted net loss of $9.2 billion in the third quarter of 2008. Total revenue rose to $26.05 billion from $898 million. However, analysts were looking for a profit of $1.20 per share. The stock was down some 6%, at last check, in pre-market trading following the report. read more...
Wall Street is still digesting the Federal Open Market Committee's policy statement this morning, as traders come to the sobering conclusion as to why the Fed decided to leave interest rates at record lows for an extended period. While the Fed believes that the economy is improving, the rates are staying low out of concern for the strength of the recovery. U.S. stock futures are trading lower against this backdrop, but while futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) are down 2 points at 9,783, they are still trading some 26 points above fair value. Meanwhile, the Street must still prepare for tomorrow's nonfarm payrolls report and the continued flood of corporate earnings, including reports from Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO), Cardinal Health Inc. (CAH), and Sirius XM Radio (SIRI). In currencies and commodities, the U.S. Dollar Index is trading basically flat, having risen a mere 0.06% to hover near 75.80 in pre-market activity. Meanwhile, the December gold futures contract has posted a slight gain, adding $1.80 to trade at $1,089.30 an ounce. Finally, crude oil for December delivery is down 45 cents at $79.95 per barrel in electronic trading. On the earnings front, Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) reported a first-quarter profit of $1.8 billion, or 30 cents per share, compared with a profit of $2.2 billion, or 37 cents per share, last year. Revenue came in at $9 billion, down from $10.3 billion a year ago. Adjusted income was 36 cents per share. Wall Street was expecting earnings of 31 cents per share on revenue of $8.75 billion. read more...
Today's Most Popular Stories