Sentiment Snapshot: World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE)

Examining the pre-earnings sentiment surrounding World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE)

by Andrea Kramer (akramer@sir-inc.com) 8/4/2008 12:15 PM


King of the ring World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE: View sentiment for WWEsentiment, chart, options) is poised to battle the earnings gods before the market opens tomorrow. (Thomson Financial reports that the company is expected to record second-quarter earnings of 12 cents per share.) However, heading into the report, there is one group challenging WWE's strength: short sellers.

Before we delve into the short-selling arena, let's take a look at how WWE is faring on the charts. From an historical standpoint, the shares of WWE have marked a series of higher highs and higher lows since early 2003. However, more recently, the stock has been somewhat subdued, consolidating between support in the 13-to-14 region and resistance in the 18-to-20 neighborhood since early 2006. Year-to-date, the equity has tacked on roughly 12%, and is currently hovering in the $16.60 area. Compared to the broad market, WWE is the champ, with the shares outperforming the S&P 500 Index (SPX) by 14% during the past 60 trading days.

DAILY CHART OF BIDU SINCE JANURY 2008 WITH 20-DAY MOVING AVERAGE

As alluded to above, short sellers are virtually throwing down the gauntlet ahead of the report. Short interest on the equity has been creeping higher since early 2008, and now accounts for more than 4 million WWE shares – or 19.4% of the stock's total available float.

However, these skeptics could prove to be a boon for WWE, should the stock win the earnings war tomorrow. A stronger-than-expected earnings report could spook the shorts; at the stock's average daily trading volume, it would take nearly 10 days for these bears to buy back their pessimistic positions. A short-covering rally of this magnitude could act as a potential catalyst higher.

On the flip side, should WWE be defeated in the earnings confessional, the security could face the wrath of analysts. Heading into the report, Zacks reports that 4 out of 6 ranking brokers harbor "buy" or better ratings on the equity. A disappointing earnings report could motivate these bullish brokers to issue downgrades, which could place additional selling pressure on the shares.

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