Option Activity Alert: Shorts Have Their Doubts About Dr Pepper Snapple Group

Buy-to-open call volume is rising in step with short interest on this soda stock

by Elizabeth Harrow (eharrow@sir-inc.com) 11/11/2009 11:45 AM


Keywords:

DPS

stocks

options

Call volume has been building steadily on Dr Pepper Snapple Group Inc. (DPS: View sentiment for DPSsentiment, chart, options). During the past five days, traders on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) bought to open 4,649 calls on the soft drink stock, compared to zero puts that were purchased. In other words, option players are showing a clear bias toward bullishly oriented options over their bearish counterparts.

DPS SOIRAs a result, the security's 10-day ISE call/put volume ratio is docked at a lofty 54.35, confirming that traders have snapped up calls over puts at a rapid pace during the past couple of weeks. This ratio ranks higher than 89% of other such readings taken during the previous 52 weeks, indicating that calls have rarely been in greater demand.

In keeping with this trend, DPS' Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) is also lingering in optimistic territory. The stock's SOIR currently weighs in at 0.68, which ranks in the 30th annual percentile. This low rank reveals that short-term speculators have shown a greater preference for calls over puts only 30% of the time during the past year.

Not only are option players veering toward bullish bets, they're also favoring out-of-the-money strikes. The November 30 strike is home to peak front-month call open interest of 4,865 contracts, and the December 30 strike carries peak call open interest of 3,288. In fact, the 30 strike also holds sway in the February series, with a total of 20,278 calls in residence.

DPS short interestMeanwhile, the equity's put players prefer the 25 strike. The November 25 strike sports peak put open interest of 4,132 contracts, and the December 25 strike is home to peak put open interest of 1,237 contracts. With DPS trading just shy of $27 at last check, both call and put traders are showing a marked interest in the stock's out-of-the-money options.

Elsewhere on Wall Street, short sellers are ramping up their bets on the security's decline. Short interest on DPS rose by 19.4% during the past month, and escalated by nearly 12% during just the most recent reporting period. Now, these bearish bets account for a notable 4.7% of the equity's float.

Against this backdrop, the recent rush toward calls over puts takes on new meaning. Rather than representing new bullish positions, the flood of purchased calls could simply be the result of increased hedging activity by the short-selling crowd.

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