The technology sector is in trouble this morning, as traders have reacted negatively to Dell Inc.'s (DELL) third-quarter earnings report. The company said that profit plunged 57%, and it missed Wall Street's expectations by 5 cents per share. What's more, Dell's miss arrives on the heels of Bank of America's downgrade of several semiconductor stocks on Thursday. As a result, U.S. stock futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) have plummeted 80 points to 10,247, or about 63 points below fair value.
The U.S. Dollar Index is on the rise again, gaining 0.46% to trade at 75.64 in pre-market activity. Commodities, meanwhile, are down only modestly in comparison. Specifically, the December gold futures contract has slipped $1.60 to $1,140.10 an ounce, while crude oil for January delivery is off 51 cents at $77.54 per barrel in electronic trading.
In earnings news, Dell Inc. (DELL) reported that its third-quarter profit plunged 57% to $337 million, or 17 cents per share, from $727 million, or 37 cents per share, last year. Revenue declined 15% to $12.9 billion from $15.2 billion a year ago. Excluding one-time items, Dell would have earned 23 cents per share. Analysts had forecast earnings of 28 cents per share on revenue of $13.2 billion.
Elsewhere, D.R. Horton Inc. (DHI) reported a fourth-quarter loss of $231.9 million, or 73 cents per share, compared with $799.9 million, or $2.53 per share, in the year-ago period. The home builder said the latest quarter's results included $192.6 million in pretax charges related to inventory and land. Home-building revenue for the September quarter dropped to $1 billion from $1.8 billion in the same quarter the previous year.
Finally, Gap Inc. (GPS) could buck the downtrend today, after the company reported that its third-quarter profit rose 25% to $307 million, or 44 cents per share, from a profit of $246 million, or 35 cents per share, last year. Sales rose 1% to $3.59 billion. Same-store sales for the quarter were flat, compared to a 12% decline in the year-ago quarter. Gap said its operating margin was the highest in a decade at 13.9%. Analysts had forecast 42 cents per share. The company also announced a $500 million share repurchase program.
Earnings Preview
The earnings calendar ends the week with reports from AnnTaylor Stores Corp. (ANN) and The J.M. Smucker Company (SJM). Keep your browser at SchaeffersResearch.com throughout the day for more.
Economic Calendar
The economic calendar is devoid of reports today. Next week is shortened by the Thanksgiving holiday, but there is no shortage of data. We start off slow, with only October's existing home sales on tap Monday. Tuesday picks up the pace, with preliminary third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP), September's S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, November's consumer confidence index, and the Federal Housing Finance Agency's (FHFA) September home price index.
We hit the mother lode on Wednesday, with October's personal income/spending indexes, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index for October, weekly initial jobless claims, October's durable goods orders, the November University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, October's new home sales figures, and weekly U.S. petroleum supplies. The market is closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving, and trading wraps up early on Friday due to the holiday.
Market Statistics
Equity option activity on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) saw 1,403,722 call contracts traded on Thursday, compared to 1,028,342 put contracts. The resultant single-session put/call ratio arrived at 0.73, while the 21-day moving average rose to 0.63.
**The volume data shown above is from the Nasdaq and NYSE exchanges only. It does not include regional volume activity, which means that other daily volume quotes you see may be higher.**
Every morning, our research staff analyzes the prior day and the overnight markets, and monitors the morning wires to give you an accurate preview of the day to come. If you enjoyed today's edition of Opening View, sign up here for free daily delivery, straight to your inbox, before the opening bell.
Overseas Trading
Overseas trading looks sickly this morning, as only one of the 10 foreign indexes that we track is in positive territory. The cumulative average return on the collective stands at a loss of 0.41%. In Asia, most markets closed lower as technology shares sagged after their U.S. peers took a beating, while an overnight pullback in commodity prices weighed down resource stocks. Elpida Memory lost 2% and Toshiba gave up 2.2% in Tokyo, while Samsung Electronics fell 0.5% in Seoul. ProMOS Technologies sank 3.7% and Chi Mei Optoelectronics fell 2.6% in Taipei, while Wipro gave up 2.1% in Mumbai. Japanese banking stocks staged a modest rebound after a string of declines on concerns about equity-dilution from capital-boosting measures. Shares of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group gained 1.1%, Mizuho Financial Group added 1.9% and Resona Holdings climbed 2.5%.
But analysts remained cautious about banks after a government proposal to provide debt relief to small businesses passed the Lower House on Friday and awaited clearance in the Upper House of the Parliament. Earlier in the day, the Bank of Japan's board members decided to leave the policy target rate unchanged at 0.1% -- a rate it has held since December last year - to try and revitalize the overall economy by capping borrowing rates. The board said it would keep financial conditions very accommodative.
Turning to Europe, shares pulled back after making some early gains in the session. The construction and chemical sectors were among the top performers in percentage terms, with Saint Gobain shares up 1.2% in Paris and BASF shares up 1.3% in Frankfurt. Volkswagen shares rose 1.2% after it said that its supervisory board has approved the contracts relating to its planned multi-stage takeover of rival Porsche. The company said the agreement was a further important step towards the takeover, which would be completed over the course of 2011 under the plans. Porsche shares were up 0.5%. Cable & Wireless shares gained 3.2% after it was upgraded to "overweight" from "neutral" at JPMorgan. "Cable & Wireless has underperformed the sector and the FTSE by 19% and 25% year-to-date despite heavy emerging markets exposure. This reflects sensitivity to recessionary pressures. But with expectations rebased post the first half, we believe focus will now shift to C&W's above-average gearing into cyclical recovery," the broker said.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DX/Y) rose 0.15% to trade at 75.30 on Thursday. The dollar gained ground versus most of its foreign rivals as weak U.S. economic data prompted a return to the greenback as a safe-haven investment. However, currency traders remained cautious on the dollar, which finished off its morning lows, as it remains trapped in a tight trading range after hitting a 15-month low earlier in the week. Against this backdrop, the euro slipped to $1.4913, while the dollar dipped to 88.92 yen.
The futures contract on the 30-year bond (US/1 – 120'26) added 10/32 on Thursday. Treasurys rebounded on the session, as bond traders drew strength from the belief that a sluggish economy would protect U.S. debt. Still, gains were limited, as traders prepared for the government's plan to sell a record amount of debt next week. Specifically, the Treasury Department said it will sell $22 billion in two-year notes on Monday, $42 billion in five-year notes on Tuesday, and $32 billion in seven-year notes on Wednesday.
Commodity Corner
Crude futures finished in the red for the first time in four sessions on Thursday, thanks to a rebound in the dollar and fresh demand-related concerns. More specifically, the government's report that first-time filings for unemployment benefits remained at uncomfortably elevated levels last week sparked fears that domestic energy demand could remain weak. What's more, the latest oil statistics from China failed to boost black gold, after the world's second largest oil consumer said demand for petroleum rose 10.2% in October, compared to the period a year ago. As a result, January-dated crude surrendered $2.05, or 2.56%, to settle at $78.05 per barrel.
Elsewhere in the commodities pits, gold futures eked out yet another gain yesterday, as a selling spree in the equities market increased the metal's safe-haven appeal. In addition, investors were encouraged after the World Gold Council reported that gold demand surged 15% from the second to third quarters, rallying to 800.3 metric tons, or $24.7 billion in dollar terms. By the close, gold for December delivery added 70 cents to finish at $1,141.90 an ounce.
Unusual Put and Call Activity:
For an explanation of how to use this information, check out our Education Center topics on Option Volume and Open Interest Configurations.
Discuss this article:
Post your own comment
More articles:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) held onto the 10,000 level by the skin of its teeth last week, as a late-session rally pushed the Dow some 170 points higher on Friday. That support could be called into question early in today's trading, as U.S. stock futures on the DJIA are up 11 points at 9,952, or about 16 points below fair value, pointing toward a weak open. Meanwhile, the S&P Depository Receipts (SPY) exchange-traded fund (ETF) is hovering above peak put open interest at the 105 level, which corresponds to 1,050 for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) -- a region that could provide additional support for the index. Finally, the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) closed above its 200-day moving average last week, suggesting that the market is moving toward higher volatility, which could mean additional selling pressure. read more...
Wall Street is struggling to right itself following yesterday's nearly 270-point loss by the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). The drubbing sent the Dow below the 10,000 mark on an intraday basis for the first time since Nov. 6, 2009. On the sentiment front, the latest American Association of Individual Investors survey data revealed the lowest bullish and highest bearish percentages since Nov. 5. This technical and sentiment backdrop could make today's U.S. unemployment rate and jobs data even more important for the market as a whole. VIX watchers will also want to note that the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) is flirting with overhead resistance at its 10-month moving average. The index hasn't traded significantly above this trendline on a daily basis since April 2009. read more...
Concerns about government debt in the euro zone are helping to extend yesterday's malaise on Wall Street. A poorly received services sector report and lackluster corporate earnings helped push the S&P 500 Index (SPX) back below its 80-day moving average Wednesday. U.S. stock futures on the SPX were last seen lower by 6.70 points at 1,089.70, or about four points below fair value, pointing toward additional weakness for the index heading into the open. News that Portugal's finance ministry cut the size of a bond issue is adding to the negative mood on Wall Street, as traders were already keeping a close eye on Greece's debt load. Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) could prove to be a bright spot, as the company reported a better-than-expected quarterly profit after the close last night. As for the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX), the so-called "fear" index crept higher yesterday, edging back above its 10-week moving average. read more...
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) surmounted a key technical hurdle yesterday, as the broad-market index reclaimed its 80-day moving average in the wake of a two-day, nearly 3% rally. The bulls are in a holding pattern this morning, however, as Wall Street will get its first dose of monthly employment data from ADP, a report that is often viewed as a preview for Friday's nonfarm payrolls and unemployment report. Heading into the open, U.S. stock futures on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) are basically flat, up only 1.5 points at 1,098.7, or about 1.17 points below fair value. Meanwhile, the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) extended its recent backslide, and could be poised to finish the week back below its 10-week and 20-week moving averages. Such a weekly finish would continue a pattern that has contained the VIX for the better part of the past year. read more...
Wall Street kicked the month off right yesterday, with the major market indexes rallying roughly 1% across the board, fueled by strong corporate earnings and economic data. The February jumpstart had a negative effect on the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX), which broke back below potential support at its 20-week moving average. A resumption of the VIX's long-term downtrend could have bullish implications for stocks. Speaking of which, equities appear poised to extend Monday's gains, with U.S. stock futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) up 25 points at 10,162, or about 27 points above fair value. read more...
If the saying "as goes January, so goes the rest of the year" holds true, Wall Street could be in for a rough year. The major market indexes dropped nearly 4% across the board last month, setting an unnerving tone for the rest of 2010. What's more, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) broke below its 80-day moving average for the first time since the March 2009 bottom last week, providing more technical fuel for the bears. There is a positive bias heading into the open this morning, however, with U.S. stock futures on the SPX up 4.60 points at 1,075, or roughly 4.58 points above fair value. What's more, sentiment could also be on the bulls' side, as the latest American Association of Individual Investors survey looks very similar to readings taken at the September and October 2009 bottoms. As for the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX), the fear barometer remains trapped between its 10-month moving average, near the 27 level, and its 20-week moving average, near the 23 level. read more...
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) began the week trading below potentially staunch resistance at its 80-day moving average, and the weeks' events have the index trading about 1.3% below this key technical benchmark. As Todd Salamone noted in Monday Morning Outlook, a reclamation of the 80-day trendline could send the SPX back to the 1,150 within the next few weeks, while a failure here could send the index down to the 1,050 area. There is an upward bias heading into the open this morning, as U.S. stock futures on the SPX are up 2.40 points at 1,081.60, or about half a point above fair value. Driving the bullish momentum are earnings reports from Microsoft Corp. (MSFT), Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), and Honeywell International Inc. (HON). However, enthusiasm is being held in check, as Wall Street awaits the release of the advance report on fourth-quarter U.S. gross domestic product (GDP). read more...
Traders have quite a bit of data to digest this morning, following last night's State of the Union address and yesterday's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy statement. First, with the Fed's economic outlook improving, Kansas City Fed President Thomas Hoenig dissented from the committee's decision to keep accommodative language in the official Fed statement. Meanwhile, President Obama also highlighted economic improvements, while calling for a wave of job creation measures and a redoubling of efforts to finish health care reform. Wall Street is handling the deluge pretty well, as U.S. stock futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) are up 23 points at 10,218, or about 32 points above fair value. Despite its recent pullback the Dow is holding steady above its 20-week moving average. As for VIX watchers, the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) continued its retreat yesterday, with the index now perched on potential support at its 20-week moving average. read more...
The Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) decision on U.S. monetary policy and interest rates is due out this afternoon, while President Obama is slated to give the annual State of the Union address later tonight. Despite recent negativity directed toward Washington, Wall Street appears cautiously optimistic in early trading activity, as U.S. stock futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) are up 25 points at 10,163, or about 18 points above fair value. Ahead of the FOMC and Obama's speech, traders will be graced with December's new home sales report, a slew of earnings reports, and a special announcement from Apple Inc. (AAPL). As for the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX), the fear barometer found support at its 20-week moving average yesterday, after extending its pullback from Friday's near-term high at 28.01. read more...
Worries from the Far East are threatening to sink trading on Wall Street this morning. Concerns over the health of Japan's economy and China's moves to curtail the growth of its economic boom have helped pressure U.S. stock futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) 22 points lower to 10,118, or about 15 points below fair value. On the home front, investors are still waiting on several events out of Washington, including an interest rate decision, news on the confirmation of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, the State of the Union address, and bank regulatory developments. Meanwhile, corporate earnings looked strong, with VMware Inc. (VMW), EMC Corp. (EMC), and Apple Inc. (AAPL) all topping estimates. Finally, the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) retreated from resistance at its 10-month moving average on Monday, but appeared to find support near the 25 level. read more...
Today's Most Popular Stories