The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) is bracing for a triple-digit drop right out of the gate, after John Boehner, R-Ohio, failed to garner enough votes to pass his "Plan B" tax plan. The House Speaker is slated to hold a press conference today at 10:00 a.m. EST.
With uncertainty swirling, Schaeffer's Senior Trading Analyst Bryan Sapp has a few technical levels he's watching. "On the S&P 500 Index (SPX), I'm continuing to keep an eye on 1,425 to the downside. It looks like 1,450 could have some resistance, along with 1,460 and 1,475 overhead. Equally important is the $500-$550 range on Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL)."
Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average nearly 138 points below fair value.
Equity option activity on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) saw 879,313 call contracts traded on Thursday, compared to 566,642 put contracts. The resultant single-session put/call ratio remained at 0.64, while the 21-day moving average stayed at 0.63.
From the Trading Floor
"The new American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM) sentiment reports continue to show extreme optimism," noted Sapp. "The AAII report today had the highest percentage bulls and lowest percentage bears since February. Even though there is a great deal of optimism, markets will actually need some reason to sell off."
Sapp continued, "In my opinion, much of the potential bad news associated with the fiscal cliff has already been priced in, and short interest on stocks remains elevated. Bears will need some sort of shock to get the ball rolling."
Currencies and Commodities
Earnings and Economic Data
The week winds down on a relatively quiet note, with the latest personal income and outlays report, the December Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, and quarterly results from Walgreen (WAG).
Recent XIV Action May Bode Well for Bulls
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