The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) is eyeing a sixth straight loss, with futures on the blue-chip barometer decidedly lower ahead of the bell. Fiscal-cliff negotiations are continuing to dominate headlines, with no solution in sight, and the deadline just hours away. U.S. lawmakers are racing against the clock, but Wall Street seems convinced that no resolution will be reached before the ball drops at midnight.
With uncertainty swirling, Schaeffer's Senior Trading Analyst Bryan Sapp tells us he's watching a number of levels on the S&P 500 Index (SPX), including "the 1,385 and 1,400 areas to the downside, and the 1,420 mark on the upside." Additionally, "the $500 region for Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL)" continues to demand Sapp's attention.
Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average are more than 73 points below fair value.
Equity option activity on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) saw 672,136 call contracts traded on Friday, compared to 429,236 put contracts. Both the resultant single-session put/call ratio and the 21-day moving average arrived at 0.64.
From the Trading Floor
"One thing I noticed last week is that the term structure of CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) futures is very flat right now," continued Sapp. "VIX is a futures-traded contract, so there are different expirations going out every quarter. Typically, further-dated VIX futures are much higher than near-term VIX futures because volatility can explode quickly, and a longer time frame leaves open a greater possibility for a VIX spike. The current flat-term structure is the market's way of saying it's expecting near-term volatility in excess of that a few months from now. I think this has bullish contrarian implications, considering the market generally confuses the greatest number of participants."
Currencies and Commodities
Earnings and Economic Data
The holiday-shortened week kicks off with the Dallas Fed's manufacturing survey. There are no notable earnings due for release.
The Case for Big Moves in IWM and QQQ
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